The Biggest Upsets In Recent Australian Open History
bettingexpert blog editor. Always taking the alternative route to finding the value.
Serena Williams crashes out of the Australian Open today at the hands of Sloane Stephens. Williams was priced at odds of 1.03 pre-match to defeat Stephens. So where does Williams' loss to Stephens rank in Australian Open upsets of recent tournaments. On the blog today, Andrew tells us that Serena's loss equals her sister's loss to Suarez-Navarro in 2009 as the biggest upset of the Australian Open since 2008.
1 - Lu defeats Nalbandian, 2nd Round 2009
61st ranked Yen-Hsun Lu of Chinese Taipei took down 11th ranked David Nalbandian in the 2nd round of the 2009 Australian Open. After claiming the opening set 6-4, Lu dropped the next two sets only to storm back winning the final two sets 6-4, 6-2.
Heading into the match, Nalbandian was priced at odds of 1.04 to win, an implied winning probability of 96%, with Lu at odds of 12.00. Unfortunately for Lu, he was not able to match the feat in the 3rd round, going down to Tommy Robredo in straight sets.
2 – Falla defeats Fish, 2nd Round 2012
Not only did Alejandro Fallas cause the second biggest upset in the men's drawn of the Australian Open of the last five tournaments, but did so in astounding fashion. Entering the 2nd round contest ranked 71st in the world, the Colombian tore through his 8th ranked opponent in straight sets, 7-6, 6-3, 7-6.
Fish was fancied at odds of 1.10 with bookmakers pre-match, an implied winning probability of 91% but was unable to replicate anything near this form while was priced at odds of 7.30 to cause the upset. As with Yen-Hsun Lu in 2009, Falla was caught short in the 3rd round, going down in straight sets to Phillip Kohlschreibder.
3 – Ferrer defeats Nadal, Quarterfinals 2011
Just six places separated the players in the world rankings as the two Spaniards met in the quarters of the 2011 tournament, but as far as the bookmakers were concerned, number 1 ranked Nadal was a class above his compatriot David Ferrer, entering the match as a 1.11 favourite.
However it was all one way traffic as Ferrer closed out the match in straight sets, winning 6-4, 6-2, 6-3. Ferrer would go on to face Andy Murray in the semi's, exiting the tournament 1-3.
4 – Giraldo defeats Robredo, 1st Round 2010
Colombian Santiago Giralldo entered this 1st round match of the 2010 tournament ranked 114th in the world, while his much preferred opponent Tommy Robredo came in ranked 16th. By the end of the afternoon, Robredo would be leaving the tournament in straight sets, 4-6, 2-6, 2-6.
Robredo was priced at odds of 1.11 pre-match to move on to the second round, while for Giraldo the 2nd round would be as far as he would go, losing in 4 sets to Poland's Lukasz Kubot.
5 – Verdasco defeats Murray, 4th Round 2009
Only 11 placed separated the players in the world rankings, with 4th ranked Andy Murray entering the 4th round contest as a 1.11 favourite, while the 15th ranked Fernando Verdasco was considered a rare chances with the bookmakers at odds of 6.70.
Murray would start in expected fashion, disposing of the Spaniard 6-2 in the opening set. Verdasco would storm back in the second winning 6-1 before dropping the third set 1-6. With the match seemingly in Murray's grasp, Verdasco would go on to win the final two sets and the match, 6-3, 6-4.
1 – Suarez-Navarro defeats V. Williams, 2nd Round 2009
The biggest upset of the Australian Open the last five tournaments goes to Carla Suarez-Navarro as she disposed of Venus Williams in three sets. The Spaniard entered the contest ranked 46th in the world with Williams comfortably favoured with the bookmakers ranked 6th at odds of 1.03, an implied winning probability of 97%.
Williams would win the opening set 6-2, before dropping final two by the score of 3-6, 5-7. Suarez-Navarro was priced at odds of 13.00 to progress to the next round where she would defeat compatriot Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez in straight sets. Suarez-Navarro's run would extend all the way to the quarter-finals where she would lose to Russian Elena Dementieva in straights sets.
Serena Williams' loss to Sloane Stephens this year equals this result for the biggest upset in both the mens and womens of the Australian Open since 2008.
2 – Makarova defeats S. Williams, 4th Round 2012
Serena Williams would suffer the 2nd biggest upset of the women's tournament the last five years, when she went down to Russian Ekaterina Makarova in the 4th round of 2012 in straight sets, 2-6, 3-6.
Williams would enter the match ranked 12th in the world at odds of 1.05 to claim victory and move on to the quarter-finals. Unfortunately for the American, the 56th ranked Makarova priced with bookmakers at odds of 10.00 pre-match would cause the upset. The Russian however could not replicate the feat in the quarters, going down to eventual finalist Maria Sharapova in straight sets.
3 – Bondarenko defeats Radwanska, 1st Round 2009
Ukrainian Kateryna Bondarenko caused a 1st round upset back in 2009, defeating Poland's Agnieszka Radwanska in three sets. Bondarenko entered the tournament ranked 59th in the world and was able to overcome her more fancied opponent 7-6, 4-6, 6-1.
At odds of 1.06 pre-match, Radwanska was highly favoured to move to the next round in simple fashion. However the unlikely outsider Bondarenko priced with bookmakers at odds of 9.70 would be the one to progress to the 2nd round where she would win again, defeating Spain's Lourdes Dominguez Lino in straight sets. Her run however would come to an end in the 3rd round where she would go down in two tough sets to Russian Svetlana Kuznetsova.
4 – Makarova defeats Svavay, 1st Round 2008
May we call her the Upset Queen as Ekaterina Makarova makes her second appearance on our list. Back in 2008, Makarova entered the Australian Open ranked 110th in the world and would face 19th ranked Agnes Szavay of Hungary.
Priced at odds of 9.40 pre-match, Makarova would drop the opening set 3-6 before overcoming her opponent in the final two sets, 6-4, 7-5. Makarova's run would extend to the 3rd round where she would eventually depart the tournament at the hands of fellow Russian Nadia Petrova in straight sets.
5 – Lisicki defeats Safina, 1st Round 2008
The 1st Round of the 2008 tournament would set yet another major upsets when German Sabine Lisicki defeated Russian Dinara Safina in three sets. Entering the match ranked 16th in the world, the highly favoured Safina would drop the opening set to the 194th ranked German, before rebounding to take the 2nd set 6-4.
Unfortunately for the Russian, it was one way traffic in the final and deciding set, as the underdog Lisicki priced at odds of 9.40 would move on to the second round, winning the set 6-2. The German would continue to the 3rd round where she would leave the tournament, losing to Dane Caroline Wozniacki in three sets.
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A few good ones from the men, but remember those days when Marat Safin defeated Roger Federer in 2005 semifinals, or Alberto Martin defeating Lleyton Hewitt in the first round of 2002, but my favourite would certainly be Thomas Johansson, and who the hell is he, he lifted the 2002 Australian Open final against Marat Safin, and still i am bemused to tell you who he is, even today. Looks like there will be surprise this 2013 Aussie Open final for sure, its Djokovic?