Euro 2012 - The Final : Spain 4 Italy 0 - The Betting Charts

Jul 1st, 2012 - Posted by Andrew_Brocker in Football, Euro 2012

bettingexpert blog editor. Always taking the alternative route to finding the value.

Euro 2012 ended as many suspected with Spain claiming yet another trophy. Today on the blog Andrew gives us the betting charts for the one-sided final against Italy.

SpainItalyFlags

And so the team that entered the tournament as 3.90 favourites finishes in fine style, leaving not much to the debate as to which team is the best of Europe. Spain put two goals behind Italy in each half to come away 4-0 winners taking another trophy in the process. So let's take a look at how the odds shaped as the match progressed.

1st Half : Spain 2 - Italy 0

The chart below shows us the implied probability of the odds for each outcome as the first 45 minutes evolved. (By implied probability we mean the chance represented by the odds on offer. i.e Odds of 2.00 imply a 50% chance of that outcome occurring.)

SpainItalyH1

Spain began the match just shy of odds-on status, at the price of 2.18 (45.9%) while the Draw was trading at 3.15 (31.8%) and an Italian win at 4.40 (22.7%).

Spain's price was a little fidgety in the initial 14 minutes moving between 2.22 entering the 7th minute, while dropping to 2.02 in the 13th. That price was clipped into 1.33 (75.2%) when David Silva scored the opening goal.

That remained the price with Italy being offered as much as 15.00 (6.7%) entering the 41st minute. When Jordi Alba scored Spain's second goal, the defending champions were all but over the line at odds of 1.09 (91.7%).

And this is how it would remain at the half, with the Draw asking 20.00 and an Italian comeback at odds of 50.00.

2nd Half : Spain 4 - Italy 0

SpainItalyH2

Not much to speak in the final 45 minutes of Euro 2012 as Italian fans endured a slow death. Betting had all but closed with Spain trading at 1.01 entering the 66th minute, with most punters getting out minutes before Torres and Mata put the issue well beyond doubt.

Spain Defend Their Title

SpainEuro2012Odds

And so Spain defend their title, having come into the tournament as favourites at odds of 3.90 (25.6%) and being offered as high as 4.00 early days.

Heading into the knock-out stage you still could have taken them at 3.50 (28.6%) coming into 2.80 (35.7%) following their quarter-final win over France. Prior to the Germany-Italy semi-final, Spain were on offer at 1.90 before entering the final against Italy at odds of 1.60 to maintain their place as European champions.