10 Betting Facts for the NFL Conference Championships
bettingexpert blog editor. Always taking the alternative route to finding the value.
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It's NFL Conference Championship weekend as in the NFC title game the Giants visit San Francisco and in the AFC the Ravens visit New England. On the blog today Andrew delivers 10 facts that could help you find the value line this weekend.
The Giants head to San Francisco off their stunning win at Green Bay in the Divisional Round. However, teams playing away in the Championship Game coming off an underdog road win in the Divisional Round are 11-17 against the line since 1981.
New England made easy work of Denver in the Divisional Round, winning by a comfortable 35 points at home easily covering the line of 13.5 points. While teams playing at home in the Championship Game coming off a home game in which they covered the line are 25-19 against the line since 1981, but 2-4 against the line coming off a win of more than 30pts in the Divisional Round.
San Francisco pulled off the home upset win against the Saints in the Divisional Round. Teams playing at home coming off an underdog win are 4-0 against the line in the Championship Game since 1981.
The Giants have covered the line in their last 4 games. Clubs playing on winning streak against the line of 4 are 2-9 against the line in the Championship Game since 1981 and 1-7 against the line when playing in a Championship Game on the road.
A great deal of the Giants success against Green Bay was due to winning the turnover battle. Teams playing away in a Conference Championship game coming off a Divisional playoff in which they had 3 less turnovers than their opponents are 8-3 against the line in Championship Game since 1981, but 1-5 against the line when they won the turnover battle by 4 or more turnovers.
New England held the Broncos to just 10 points in their home Divisional win last weekend. Teams playing at home in a Championship game that held their opponents to 10pts or fewer in the Divisional Round are 15-9 against the line since 1981 and 26-17 against the line both home or away.
The 49ers and the Saints was a classic shootout with both clubs combining for almost 900 total yards. Teams that played in a Divisional playoff where both teams combined for over 750 yards offence, are 8-19 against the line in the Championship Game since 1981.
Despite winning the game, the 49ers were out-gained against New Orleans by 65 yards. Teams that were out-gained by their Divisional opponents by 50 yards or more are 0-5 against the line in the Championship Game at home since 1981 and 3-10 against the line either home or away.
New England punished the Broncos on the scoreboard and in the boxscore, out-gaining Denver by 257 yards in total offence. Teams that out-gained their Divisional opponents by 200 yards or more are 0-6 against the line in the Championship Game at home since 1981 and 1-8 against the line either home or away.
The 49ers combined with the Saints for 78 total points, while the Giants combined with the Packers for 57. When both clubs in a Championship game went Over the Total line in their Divisional playoffs, the Championship game has gone Over 8-3 since 1981.
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