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Let the bettingexpert bloggers show you how to become a more successful sports punter as they deliver the latest analysis, advice and experienced insight.


Tag: Betting theory

  1. Why Does Pinnacle Sports Welcome Winners?
    May 18th, 2013

    Why Does Pinnacle Sports Welcome Winners?

    Why does Pinnacle Sports have a policy of welcoming winning punters and how do these sharp accounts help to shape their betting markets? Today on the blog we talk with Pinnacle Sports' Head of Online Acquisition, Ryan Henderson about how Pinnacle Sports has become the first choice for many professional punters. What are Pinnacle Sports' origins? Pinnacle Sports was established online in 1998 by entrepreneurs who were very familiar with the gambling industry and saw the potential for a ne...

  2. Talking Betting With......Rory Jiwani
    May 16th, 2013

    Talking Betting With......Rory Jiwani

    What's it like working behind the scenes at a popular bookmaker? How do bookmakers see the changing world of online betting? Today on the blog Stephen continues our Talking Betting series as he speaks with the Head of PR at Stan James, Rory Jiwani. In the latest in the series we chat to a senior figure in the online Gaming Industry Rory Jiwani. He will be a familiar figure to anyone who watches racing in the UK, always popping up on Attheraces or Channel 4 with market updates and information ...

  3. How To Avoid Betting Account Restrictions
    May 15th, 2013

    How To Avoid Betting Account Restrictions

    What can you do if your betting account is restricted? How can you avoid having your account restricted by your bookmaker? Today on the blog editor of the Secret Betting Club Peter Ling talks with professional punter Mr Gekko about the best way to avoid having your betting account restricted. “Mr Gekko" first appeared on the gambling scene in late 2009, writing articles for the Secret Betting Club discussing how he was making a living primarily from full-time betting and helping to p...

  4. Bookmaker Terms & Conditions: As Hard To Read As Nietzsche
    May 9th, 2013

    Bookmaker Terms & Conditions: As Hard To Read As Nietzsche

    by Thomas

    The average bettingexpert user is active at over 4 bookmakers. This means that the bettingexpert community accepts bookmaker terms and conditions (T&Cs) quite frequently. In this study, we examine the readability level of 36 bookmaker's T&Cs and estimate how large a percentage of the UK population is likely to understand them. In order to make this assessment we use the SMOG (Simple Measure of Gobbledygook) formula, which is used to assess the readability of a text. The research design ...

  5. How Much Does Luck Affect Football Results?
    Apr 27th, 2013

    How Much Does Luck Affect Football Results?

    How much does luck impact the result of a football match and how much does the result come down to talent? Today on the blog Martin Eastwood introduces us to the work of Tom Tango and how it can be applied to football to determine over the course of a season how much of a team's performance is due to luck and how much is due to skill. One of the more intriguing aspects of football is the role of luck, or random chance. With football being such a low scoring game it instinctively feels that lu...

  6. Talking Betting With......Neil Channing
    Apr 26th, 2013

    Talking Betting With......Neil Channing

    How do you succeed as a professional poker player? How do pro poker players stay ahead of the game? Today on the blog we continue our Talking Betting series as Stephen talks poker and betting with pro poker player and professional punter Neil Channing. In our Talking Betting series we interview some of the people who rely on the world of racing and betting to earn a living in a number of different ways. We try and get inside the mindset of these "insiders" and unearth advice for all bettingex...

  7. What Is A Meaningful Sample Size?
    Apr 24th, 2013

    What Is A Meaningful Sample Size?

    How much data do you need in order to make accurate predictions? What is a meaningful sample size when conducting your betting analysis? Today on the blog Martin Eastwood discusses how much data is enough. Imagine you have developed a new betting system and you want to know whether it is successful or not - how long do you need to test it for? 10 games, 100 games, 1000 games or even longer? What if you have been looking through sports data to try and find an edge and you think you have spott...

  8. The Core Of Predicting Football Match Outcomes: Ordered Logistic Regression
    Apr 24th, 2013

    The Core Of Predicting Football Match Outcomes: Ordered Logistic Regression

    This is the third post in our series by Zach Slaton, explaining how to use simple-but-effective statistical concepts that can help provide a richer understanding of the data already at your fingertips. The first post in the series dealt with how linear regression prediction intervals can yield deeper insights, while the second post explained how to use exponential regression to quantify rare events like goal scoring totals. Today on the blog Zach explains how another type of regression theory &...

  9. Probability And Randomness: Introducing Independence
    Apr 9th, 2013

    Probability And Randomness: Introducing Independence

    What are the chances of a coin toss coming up heads again after landing heads ten straight times? What is an independent event in probability theory? And what is the Gambler's Fallacy? Today on the blog Dominic Yeo introduces us to the concept of independence in the first of his series exploring probability and randomness. In upcoming posts, I will be explaining the mathematical theory underlying the fascinating topic of probability and randomness. As with so many things, it is easy to descen...

  10. Why Do Bookmakers Limit Accounts?
    Apr 8th, 2013

    Why Do Bookmakers Limit Accounts?

    Why do online bookmakers limit customer accounts? In the pursuit of beating the bookies, punters can find their accounts factored before they get too far on top. Today on the blog Stephen gives us five reasons why some bookmakers are quick to limit your action. bettingexpert is here to serve our community so if you have had your account limited by a bookmaker we would like to hear about it. Please send a brief explanation of what happened, when, the bookmaker involved, and your username to neal...

  11. Regression To The Mean And The Premier League Relegation Battle
    Mar 28th, 2013

    Regression To The Mean And The Premier League Relegation Battle

    Which clubs will find themselves suffering relegation from the Premier League this season? How much of an improvement can we expect to see from relegation threatened clubs in the concluding weeks of the Premier League season? Today on the blog Mark Taylor tells us that all is not lost for clubs like Wigan, as misfortune may balance out by the end of the campaign. Increasingly, football clubs are presenting their hardened fans with a conundrum as March stretches into April, the last full month...

  12. Does Betting Harm The Perception Of Sport?
    Mar 24th, 2013

    Does Betting Harm The Perception Of Sport?

    Is betting bad for sport? Does the shadow of match fixing harm the perception of sporting leagues? Today on the blog Andrew takes a look at the current debate over the legalisation of sports betting in New Jersey and whether or not it will in fact harm the reputation of North American sports leagues. Despite the muttered protests of curmudgeons ('purists'?), betting has quickly become a natural part of the sporting landscape. It is difficult now to listen to, read about, watch on television o...

  13. Cheltenham 2013: A Bookie's Post Mortem
    Mar 21st, 2013

    Cheltenham 2013: A Bookie's Post Mortem

    How did bookmakers fare at this year's Cheltenham Festival? Who came out on top - the punters or the layers? Today on the blog one of the UK's leading independent bookmakers Geoff Banks shares a layer's perspective of this year's Cheltenham Festival. Bankers. We used to count the banker material in the car with my Dad on the way down to Cheltenham. It was our benchmark to success at the meeting. And that was the word - success, because losing at the Festival was a non runner for Bookies such ...

  14. Talking Betting With.......Matt Finnigan
    Mar 20th, 2013

    Talking Betting With.......Matt Finnigan

    How can you succeed as a professional sports trader? How has trading sports changed over the last decade and what does the future hold? Today on the blog we continue our Talking Betting series as Andrew talks all things punting with Matt Finnigan. How long have you been involved in betting and trading, how did you get involved? My first involvement with betting was in the 1970’s when I used to pick the horses on ITV super 7 on World of Sport with my granddad, so you could say he was to...

  15. Analysing Rare Events: Season Goal Totals
    Mar 14th, 2013

    Analysing Rare Events: Season Goal Totals

    Part two in our series from Zach Slaton explaining how to use simple-but-effective statistical concepts in order to provide a richer understanding of the data already at your fingertips. The first post in the series dealt with how linear regression prediction intervals can yield deeper insights. Today on the blog Zach explains how another type of regression theory – exponential regression – can be used to explain the frequency of single player goal totals. When dealing with data...

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