What Were The Odds Of That?


Wigan are going down. Arsenal remain firm favourites for the top 4. And Barcelona are finally crowned La Liga champions. Today on the blog Ed Malyon delivers his wrap up of the weekend's football betting.


And so it was that the last day of the Premier League would have only two teams of twenty even playing for something of note.

It's not every year that we get an unbelievable finale like last season's but a little bit of drama will be nice and not Arsene Wenger's favourite trophy, fourth place.

Whether the final matchday was going to be very good essentially boiled down to Wigan's game at Arsenal on Tuesday night, with the newly-crowned FA Cup winners obliged to win to have any realistic chance of survival and setting up a relegation shootout at dawn - well, 12.45 - with Aston Villa.

Arsenal would have lost ground in their battle with North London rivals Spurs, and we'd have had a multi-faceted afternoon of action (probably) building to a ludicrous crescendo at both ends.

Instead, we've got a dreary mess for anyone who doesn't live in a pair of London's N-postcodes and therefore eight games where the likely highlight will be Norwich premiering next season's kit.

The biggest Premier League odds winner was Sunderland's draw with Southampton, a mutually convenient result that averaged a price of 3.05 - the lowest for any stalemate all season.

Of course, the biggest shock of the weekend itself was Wigan's victory over Manchester City at Wembley, best priced at 9/1.

The Odds: Arsenal remain firm favourites to take 4th place on the table at odds of 1.36 with bet365, while Tottenham can be taken at odds of 3.25 with 888sport.

Drawing things out

Real Madrid's failure to beat Espanyol was ultimately fatal for the side from the capital as it handed archrivals Barcelona the league - although it feels like they won it about six months ago.

3.59 was the average mark for the stalemate which solely served to confirm the inevitable while confirming Espanyol's place in mid-table.

The bottom three all lost to further damage their survival hopes while an extremely controversial 0-0 draw between Levante and Zaragoza pulled the latter an extra point away from the drop.

Granada too pulled an extra point clear of the relegation zone with a draw at Champions League-chasing Real Sociedad, with the 4.34 average price your biggest winner in Spain this week.

The Odds: Valencia are best priced at odds of 1.53 with bet365 to complete a top 4 finish this season with Real Sociedad at odds of 2.62 with Ladbrokes.

Home is where the cuore is

Nine of the ten games in Serie A this weekend began with the home side as odds-on favourites.

The only exception to that was Chievo-Torino, the most obviously nailed-on late-season Italian draw you could hope for and it obliged at pre-match prices of as low as evens.

Bologna's win at Parma rocked in at 5.54, while Cagliari held champions Juventus at an average price of 5.14.



Follow Ed on Twitter : @eaamalyon

You can read more of Ed's thoughts at The Mirror

Writer. 23. Mainly DailyMirror & Mirror Football but also Guardian Sport, ESPNFC and Betfair Sports. Surname rhymes with Galleon.