What Were The Odds Of That?

Away clubs dominate in the Premier League. Away clubs struggle in Spain. And an odds-on draw pays (surprise surprise) in Italy. Today on the blog, Ed Malyon returns with his review of all the weekend's football betting.

ChievoStadium

This week in the Premier League will forever be known as the week of the away win. Well, maybe it won't, but it was a weekend to be playing on the road (not in the road) as five teams returned home with all three points.

Arsenal were teeny odds-on to beat QPR at Loftus Road, and did so narrowly but the other wins were all racked up at decent average prices - the biggest being Reading's 4-2 win over Fulham at 5.13, with a best price of 6.00 and around 8.00 on the -1.5 Asian Handicap.

The sole home victory this weekend was Gareth Bale's win over Southampton, despite an impressive performance from Mauricio Pochettino's men and with the impact that the former Espanyol boss has had at St Mary's and the money they're expected to spend next season, the Saints could be a good bet for a top half finish next season.

Sunderland, Norwich and Newcastle are all now very much in the relegation mix, but even moreso if Wigan can win their game in hand against Swansea.

The Odds: Wigan are best odds of 1.85 with Bet365 to win tonight hosting Swansea. A win will certainly put the pressure on other relegation candidates, with Norwich currently priced at odds of 4.33 with Skybet, Newcastle at odds of 5.50 with Ladbrokes and Sunderland at odds of 7.50 with Bet365.

No hay Liga

There were whispers before this weekend that something may be afoot.

Barcelona, leaders of La Liga by a country mile for as long as anyone can remember (which by this point in the season is usually only about December) had dropped a couple of points and suddenly the Madrid press had got over-excited.

'If they lose to Betis this weekend,' an entirely plausible result given how well the Beticos have played all year and the fact that they took the lead twice, 'Madrid could do it'.

Lionel Messi saw to that though, and the Argentine's dazzling display on Sunday night had plenty wondering why he wasn't even risked against Bayern Munich.

So, with the league over, the remaining question lies over European qualification and the battle to survive, with Zaragoza and Granada winning to pull themselves clear of the dropzone for the time being.

Granada's win also has an effect on the continental race with Malaga dropping to five points off Real Sociedad, but despite the 20-point gap between the two Andalucian sides it was lowly Granada that began the game as 2.35 favourites in a weekend where no away team came home with all three points.

The major reason for this is that Real Sociedad - odds-on in some places - failed to win at Getafe despite going ahead through Carlos Vela's goal. The buffer to fifth-place Valencia is now just two points.

The biggest winner to be found this weekend was the draw between Mallorca and Levante at 3.69.

The Odds: Real Sociedad remain the preference of the bookmakers to complete a top 4 finish in 2013, with odds of 1.53 on offer at Ladbrokes, while Valencia are odds of 2.50 with Bet365.

Home-owners

On a weekend when only four away goals were scored, it's probably little surprise that eight of this weekend's home games ended up in victories for the hosts.

Six of those were odds-on shots, while Chievo and Cagliari's draw was also an odds-on winner for reasons you can decipher yourselves.

The upshot of all these home joys was that Juventus finally won their 29th Scudetto (not 31st) with a narrow win over relegation-threatened Palermo.

The bottom three all lost this week - in fact six of the bottom seven teams did - which makes Genoa's win over Pescara all the more important as it takes them three points clear of the drop zone.

The biggest winner was Roma's 3/1 victory at Fiorentina - the sole away win of the round.

The Odds: With a 4 point advantage, AC Milan are the short odds of 1.10 with Bet365 to finish 3rd in 2013, with Fiorentina at odds of 7.00.

 

 

Follow Ed on Twitter : @eaamalyon

You can read more of Ed's thoughts at The Mirror