Wimbledon Women's Final 2012 - The Betting Charts

Jul 8th, 2012 - Posted by Andrew_Brocker in Tennis

bettingexpert blog editor. Always taking the alternative route to finding the value.

With the women's final at Wimbledon complete and Serena Williams collecting yet another Grand Slam championship, today on the blog Andrew takes a look at how the odds shaped during the match.

SerenaWilliamsHeader

So another women's tournament concludes at Wimbledon as Serena Williams takes away the 2012 crown. Let's then take a look at how the odds shapes through what came to be an intriguing matchup.

WimbledonWomensOddsInPlayChart

1st Set

The chart above shows the odds for both Williams and Radwanska as the 2012 Women's final proceeded. The odds are displayed as their implied probability for both players as we entered that particular game of the match. e.g Odds of 2.00 reflect a 50% chance of that outcome happening.

As we can see, Williams blasted Radwanska away in the opening set. Opening the match at odds of 1.19 to win (84.0%) Williams shortened quickly and after breaking Radwanska's opening service game followed by holding her own, Williams led 3-0 and was odds of 1.07 (93.5%) heading into the 4th game of the 1st set.

And Williams would continue to shorten, finally winning the 1st set 6-1, and trading at 1.05 heading into the second.

2nd Set

Williams would continue to shortern early in the 2nd set as the match seemed headed for a forgone conclusion. Leading 3-1 after holding serve, Williams was asking odds of 1.01 for those brave enogh to take it on. Those that did were soon regretting the move.

Radwanska would respond and climb back into the match. She would break Williams' serve in the 8th game of the 2nd set, seeing the two tied at 4 games each. Entering the 9th game of the set, Williams was back out to odds of 1.08 (92.6%). And when Radwanska closed out the set to win 7-5, Williams was trading at 1.36 (73.5%) with Radwanska at 3.75 (26.7%) entering the final and decisive set.

3rd Set

And so what looked highly unlikely became the reality as Radwanska forced a 3rd set. However with the match sqaure at 2 games each, Williams would break Radwanska's serve, seeing Williams come in from as high as 1.48 (67.6%) to 1.18 (84.8%) entering the 6th game of the final set.

Williams would then break Radwanska again in the 7th game, seeing her asking traders at odds of 1.01 entering what would become the 8th and final game.

Serena Does It Again

And so Serena Williams is once again crowned Wimbledon Champion. She opened the tournament at odds of around 4.00 with only Sharapova ahead of her in favouratism. She headed into the Final 16 at around 4.25 and then with Sharapova making an unexpected early exit, Williams quickly shortened and was trading at around 2.05 heading into her semifinal, before trading at around 1.20 prior to the final.

Radwanska on the other hand began the tournament at odds of 33.00. Heading into the Final 16 she could be taken at 12.00. Given her determined performance in the final, the future is surely bright for the young Polish talent.