Euro 2012 Top goalscorer odds
By David, bettingexpert.com | Edited
For the Euro 2012 Top Goalscorer market the bookmakers have lined up a host of familiar faces the likes of whom many would have expected. Most are a reflection of what the top European leagues have left behind. In any case the top sides expected to have the higher chances of making it to the final stages are not many and that further restricts the players on offer.
Here we analyze the more ‘obvious’ choices for Euro 2012 top goalscorer betting according to the bookmakers’ perspective and give our take on what may be out of line and what look like good opportunities for some value bets.
Cristiano Ronaldo Euro 2012 odds
Probably the more known of faces in the Euro 2012. He is the superman prototype and the numbers he notched with the club this season are record-breaking. A whopping 46 goals and 12 assists. Despite the heroics, however, he is just one man, whom I cannot see as the godsend who can save Portugal from their poor approach to the game. The price of 15.50 seems to suggest bookies don’t agree but making it out of the group of death will be a big ask..
Mario Gomez Euro 2012 odds
He was not the top man in the Bundesliga this season, lagging behind by three goals. However, he has proven he possesses the right attacking qualities a finisher should have to rightfully get most of a nation’s responsibilities pinned on him. The Germans have, probably more than ever, a good vein of fantasy in their side. Despite the goalscorng abilities of Muller and Podolski it is himself, in a more central attacking role, who will be favoured to get the last touch in. Odds on him to top the list may be the shortest but the 9.80 on Gomez are odds to back in this Euro 2012 goalscorer market.
Miroslav Klose Euro 2012 odds
The powers of adaptation of an aging striker like Klose have been well backed up after his very successful season with Lazio. He has proven his will to be in Low’s plans by taking the leap into the Serie A, renowned for the difficulties strikers find on first impact in that league, and did not disappoint. An excellent finisher and assistman – he had 13 goals and 5 assists this season – with track records in major tournaments that are nothing short of impressive, it would be a miss if he was not backed to make it at the top for odds of 21.00, especially considering the attacking flair expected in Group B and the consequent match-ups with the weaker Group A sides.
Robin van Persie Euro 2012 odds
The hype around this player after his Premier League exploits has become so high that he is not even worth backing at odds of 12.50. Sure he may be likely to go through to the final match in July with the strength Holland possess. However, many seem to forget van Marwijk usually makes use of just one striker and he can rely on the services of Bundesliga top scorer Huntelaar as well. Besides there is also Kuyt, who scored as many as van Persie in the qualifiers and the goal scoring abilities of forwards Robben and Sneijder may mean sharing the goals with the rest. He still is a man to watch but given his numbers with the national team and all the above mentioned facts I would not see much value in the current odds on offer.
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar Euro 2012 odds
Now here is value in the prices available. Fine, it is van Persie who is widely expected to start but with the well known clashes between him and an untouchable like Sneijder van Marwijk may be tempted to switch players if things don’t work out as smoothly as he may have envisioned them. The odds reach as high as 19.00 and for one who scored 29 in the Bundesliga and was Holland’s top goalscorer in the qualifiers with double the tally of van Persie, 12 goals, they are a hint to follow.
Fernando Llorente Euro 2012 odds
With both Torres and David Villa coming from troubled seasons with their respective clubs it is quite easy to claim Llorente is the most deserving of featuring in Spain’s attacking line-up. He has been fantastic for Athletic Bilbao and does offer an aerial alternative no other player can provide Del Bosque with. He has had very little space to showcase his qualities in the past due to Spain having turned to the Barcelona’s-style ‘no true striker’ tactics whereby it is fast players that interchange in attack. However, now seems the right time for him to be given his chance. He is priced as high as David Villa before the Barca man pulled out, 17.50, and just a little short of Torres at most bookmakers.
Zlatan Ibrahimovic Euro 2012 odds
The Swedish captain can be backed at 55.00 to impose his finesse on the tournament. Those are very good odds but, like Cristiano Ronaldo, he is doomed to be of much higher level than the rest of his teammates. Not even Ibrahimovic can battle against such high odds with all of the other three teams in Sweden’s group tipped for having a sturdy defensive outlook. Besides, he does tend to naturally express himself as an assistman with the national side, especially when opponents are of a higher calibre, manning the game from deeper in midfield rather than as a true frontman.
Wayne Rooney Euro 2012 odds
Odds would surely have been much higher than 40.00 had he not been banned for the first two games. Nonetheless, that still is the highest price you would also find for Bent. They top the charts for England despite the difficulties they have as they approach Euro 2012 proving that the national side is unable to count on anyone specific to tackle their goal scoring problems. Hodgson should focus on his defence and cross his fingers for goals to come from a star player. It will be random and therefore not worth considering an Englishman for this market.
Antonio Cassano Euro 2012 odds
A character too crazy to rely on perhaps but he is undoubtedly the more classy player in the Italian line-up. Unlike Balotelli, he should be expected to start most of the games. Although he has had heart troubles this season he recovered in time and proved himself a top assistman for the Rossoneri. When it comes to goals he does know how to find his way too but it depends a lot on his starting position. In general he shifted more towards the shoulder role for his club but with Prandelli expected to try out a formation that includes as few pure strikers as possible he might naturally slip into the goalscorer role for Italy. Odds of 95.00 look well worth the shot. Otherwise, he is also available at 14.50 to be amongst the Euro 2012 top four goalscorers.
Karim Benzema Euro 2012 odds
Blanc’s expected starter especially after having been in top shape for Real Madrid. He is a moody player though and when pressure piles on he is not the man you would want holding out the flag. Ribery, Nasri and Valbuena have a knack for goals themselves and if Benzema slips once again on the confidence issue they will step up to fill the vacuum. Teams in France’s group are not expected to give much away defensively. That’s a big difference from the Liga environment. In the qualification campaign Blanc’s team never really impressed for goalscroing either so odds of 17.00 are not as good-looking as one might think.
Robert Lewandowski Euro 2012 odds
It is in the Polish camp that we are most likely to find a player the team is so reliant upon for its fortunes in the Euro 2012 tournament. They are co-hosts but as far as quality goes theirs is not an irresistible enough side we can confidently say should not disappoint home fans. The draw was benign but they will need Lewandowski to be in fine shape and deliver the goals. No other can actually step up for them and deal with that issue if he does not so the 29.00 for this dependent relationship to prolong itself might be a good shot. What I would consider more fruitful, however, would be for him to finish in the top four goalscorer list given the quarter-final match-ups that await Poland. Odds for that are cut down to what still look like a generous offer of 7.20.
Robbie Keane Euro 2012 odds
An outside bet on potential surprise Ireland. As the most known of faces in this Irish line-up Keane not only wears the captain’s armband but will also step up for the penalties. The odds for him to surprise, and it would seem it would be a big surprise according to the odds on offer, are of 150.00. For a top four spot in the goalscorer list he is priced at 24.00.
Euro 2012 Top Goalscorer Value Bets
1. Back Gomez – Euro 2012 top goalscorer – Odds of 9.20
The favourites’ supposed starter. You cannot rule out Gomez from this market just as you cannot rule out Germany from the top spot in the outright market list of favourites.
2. Back Klose – Euro 2012 top goalscorer – Odds of 19.50
33 going on 34 but he is the old fox who knows the goal inside out. Hopefully he can recover from his ailments and be his usual self in big tournaments, incrementing his goal scoring record for Germany.
3. Back Huntelaar – Euro 2012 top goalscorer – Odds of 21.00
Like Klose he may not be a first choice but is more likely to get into the manager’s plans early on nonetheless. The open spaces we should see in Group B and the consequent potential combinations with Group A make these very good odds to back.
4. Back Cassano – amongst Euro 2012 top 4 goalscorers – Odds of 14.50
Prandelli’s apparent choice of going for a line-up with no fixed point of reference might favour him for the goals. He has always performed well with the national team and has both the quality and the character to push his team forward.
5. Back Keane – amongst Euro 2012 top 4 goalscorers – Odds of 24.00
If Ireland’s attitude can prevail for long enough it will be thanks to goals from their captain.
6. Back Lewanowski – amongst Euro 2012 top 4 goalscorers – Odds of 7.20
Poland rely so much on his goals to impress the home fans. His is a distinguished profile with 22 goals in the Bundesliga this season. One of the few high quality players in the Polish team and the player for whom the team mates will work.
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