Sir Prancealot can land Group 2 glory at Newmarket
By Stephen, bettingexpert.com | Published
Google+: Stephen Harris
Richard Hannon's classy Sir Prancealot is a confident choice to land Newmarket's Group 2 Tnt July Stakes at 1.50 this afternoon.
The Tamayuz colt is one of the best 2-y-os seen out so far, following up his debut win easily in a valuable Sandown listed race (quickened up smartly up the hill as an overly fast pace folded). He was only fourth when a beaten favourite for the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, but that form makes him the one to beat, and he is still open to improvement after just three runs with Ricahrd Hughes in the saddle again.
Main danger for the £60,000 prize money comes from stablemate Alhebayeb. He is a half-brother to several winners, including the very smart Humidor, and overcame signs of inexperience to make a winning debut at Nottingham before finishing an excellent second in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. The step up 1f in trip seems certain to suit on run-style and the only concern would be if conditions became really testing (both runs on decent ground and heavy rain forecast).
The Ballydoyle raider Gale Force Ten is a £280,000 yearling who built on an encouraging start when winning a hotly contested maiden at the Curragh. He then showed further improvement when second in the Norfolk Stakes next time, and a return to this trip is likely to suit with Ryan Moore taking over from Joseph O'Brien for the first time.
David Barron usually places his horses very carefully and his Ahern is clearly held in the highest regard by the shrewd Northern trainer. The Dutch Art colt is bred to be sharp and overcame a slowish start to make an impressive winning debut at Musselburgh in June. He was unable to land a blow when fifth in the Norfolk Stakes and may have more to offer stepping upto this distance.
Chilworth Icon landed a bunched and below par renewal of the Woodcote Stakes at Epsom and it is debatable what he achieved in winning a Group 3 in Milan 11 days ago. He seems sure to struggle at this level, while Smoothtalkinrascal seems held by several of the principals after finishing well beaten at the Royal meeting.
Perhaps Birdman may outrun his odds for those looking away from the front of the market. He has been brought along quietly by David Simcock, winning at Brighton and then in deep ground at Chepstow, and would be one of the few proven in desperate conditions if things develop into a slog in the closing stages.
In summary, a superb Group 2 with plenty of the juvenile formlines coming together. Sir Prancealot created a deep impression at Sandown and can build further on his Royal Ascot fourth. At around 7-2 this morning he is worth a decent win investment to assert late on.
Stephen's Thursday Nap Shantaram 1.20 Newmarket
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