Overturn can make all the running to land Chester Cup
By Stephen, bettingexpert.com | Published
Google+: Stephen Harris
Donald McCain's tough and versatile Overturn is fancied to repeat history and land the Chester Cup at 2.35 this afternoon.
The 8-y-o landed this valuable handicap last season in bold frontrunning style, and has appeared better than ever in a busy hurdling campaign at the top level all through the winter. Eddie Ahern is sure to cut across to the rail and set a fast pace at this uniquely turning venue, and if he manages to get the fractions right, will surely be hard to catch as they turn for home.
A low draw is very important in all races here, and those drawn away from the fence often have to be dropped out completely to cut across and not concede too much ground. Main danger for the 100,000 prize money comes from Roger Varian's progressive Shubaat, who has an excellent pitch in stall three.
The 5-y-o has raced just five times in his career to date, winning twice and finishing placed on the other three occasions. He was well backed in a warm Musselburgh contest first time out and showed terrific determination to get home having been harried for the lead throughout. This extra 4f trip should suit, but the tight course is a concern for this galloper and the handicapper has raised him to his highest ever mark.
Jamie Osbourne's Never Can Tell enjoyed a fantastic 2011, culminating in a game win in the Cesarewitch in October. He has a good record here, a decent draw in stall six and Frankie Dettori is an eyecatching jockey booking. The negatives are he has to defy a career high rating and his yard have been very quiet since the start of the turf season proper, however a positive market move near the off would encourage that he is fit and readied after 214 days on the sidelines.
Gulf of Naples comes here fit after winning easily at Ripon 11 days ago (made all and in command 4f out). However, that was a very weak handicap against regressive rivals and he is now parked wide from stall 19 in a much better race.
At a bigger price Tominator may outrun his price. He is unproven at this marathon trip but has often shaped as though it will suit, and has a decent record round here in competitive handicaps. The yard has been going well of late and he is sure to have been laid out for this after 243 days away from the action.
In summary, a wide open renewal of this valuable prize, but Overturn has a superb record at this track and can soon dominate and stretch the field out. At around 6-1 he represents decent each-way value this morning and is worth an interest.
Stephen's Wednesday Nap Vivid Blue 3.30 Southwell
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