Tres can reward each-way investment
By Andrew, bettingexpert.com | Edited
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Ayr stages the principal meeting on Tuesday, with the Daily Record handicap at 4.40 the highlight. The warmer weather has yet to reach Scotland, and with the ground expected to ride on the soft side, David Barron's 4-y-o Tres Coronas is an each-way recommendation at around 10-1 this morning.
Unusually for a relatively vauable handicap, this race has an excellent shape for punters, with an odds-on favourite in Dare to Dream and very few realistic contenders for the frame.
The selection has been in decent heart this Summer, and gained reward at Newcastle in June with a ready win on ground that was on the easy side. Last time out at Haydock he was very slowly away and never able to get into it, albeit performing with credit in staying on late for fifth behind Taqleed.
Dare to Dance is sure to be a warm odds-on favourite having won impressively the last twice at Newmarket and Sandown. He was 7-1f for last Saturday's Cambridgeshire until pulled out on the day because of the fast ground and will surely relish this much easier contest. However at around 4-6 there is little edge in his price given the handicapper has lumped him up in the weights for those victories.
Dangers appear thin on the ground with a number of out of form types in the eight strong field. Mirrored has claims on a course and distance third here last time out, but appears firmly in the grip of the assesor since winning on his seasonal debut in April, while Calaf has shown his best form at the unique tight Chester circuit on decent ground.
In summary Tres Coronas has solid win and place claims and is must bet material in what appears to be an uncompetitive race for the £9500 prize money. The long straight at Ayr is ideal for his strong finishing run-style and he can assert late on under Lee Newman.
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Follow Stephen on Twitter :@stephenh61
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I'm sure the fav will continue to shorten so we ought to get 10-1 about Tres. Apologies for the typo...I am currently writing a preview of the Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe on Sunday and the German challenger Daredreame is one of the runners! Watch out for the preview on Thursday!
Yeah, good luck with that! I'll probably take it if it moves out a little come racetime.
Yes it does seem very short...all of Jeremy Noseda's horses seem to get overbet and hyped up...hopefully all eight will line up and the each-way option represents some decent value!
The odds-on favourite is actually "Dare To Dance", not "Dare To Dream". ;) I'll probably lay Dare To Dance in this race if the price doesn't go up significantly. Dare To Dance should be around Evens as far as I'm concerned.
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Looking very much forward to this - both the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and your preview for it!