Troy Trojans - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Date | Match | Selection | Odds | Stake | Bookmaker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02-2012, 20:00 | Troy Trojans - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers League: NCAAB, USA |
Away +8.5 | 1.26 | 8 | ![]() |
KENTUCKY + 8.5 TO WIN AT ODDS 1.26
Final result: 83 - 77Profit: 10.08 - 8 = 2.08
The bookmaker's deal:
-1.5 // +1.5
The last 6 games of Western KY:
10.02.12. 02:00 Middle Tennessee - Western Kentucky 72 : 64 FT NCAA Top25
05.02.12. 02:00 Western Kentucky - South Alabama 75 : 66 FT NCAA Top25
29.01.12. 01:30 Florida International - Western Kentucky 51 : 61 FT NCAA Top25
27.01.12. 01:00 Florida Atlantic - Western Kentucky 67 : 66 FT NCAA Top25
21.01.12. 20:00 Western Kentucky - Arkansas-Little Rock 65 : 53 FT NCAA Top25
15.01.12. 21:00 Denver - Western Kentucky 78 : 65 FT NCAA Top25
-> Kentucky +8.5
My analysis is based on the guess that you can take the team that the bookmakers think it is the worse team and give them the best asian handicap. As you can see, they would have won (almost) all games. To minimize the error rate I have to take all games. It is just a mathematical consideration.
Posted on: 11.02.2012, 16.26 CET (Viewed: 102 times)
Match starts on: February 11, 2012


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