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BEST INDIANA PACERS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES PREDICTION
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Timberwolves vs Pacers Expert Picks - NBA
Their previous encounter in Minneapolis witnessed a one-sided affair where the Wolves established their dominance in the pivotal third quarter, despite the third quarter usually being synonymous with the Pacers’ resilience. Also, Pacers’ star Tyrese Haliburton didn’t play in that game, and the Pacers have since welcomed Pascal Siakam into their squad from Toronto. Given these dynamic shifts, let’s review the Timberwolves vs. Pacers prediction. Pick: Timberwolves Team Total Over 116.5Read more
- Indiana Pacers-Minnesota TimberwolvesIndiana Pacers to win
6 tipsLost - Indiana Pacers-Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves to win
3 tipsWon - Indiana Pacers-Minnesota TimberwolvesOver 228.5 points
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Timberwolves vs Pacers Expert Picks - NBA
Expert Betting Analysis: Timberwolves vs Pacers Tonight
Lately, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been showing signs of promising play, with a solid 7-3 record in their last 10 outings. Yet, when it comes to beating the spread, their performance hasn’t been as impressive — they have failed to beat the spread (ATS) in six of their last seven games and have not covered in their last five consecutive contests. The one standout victory during that time was their win over the Clippers in Los Angeles, but that occurred on February 12, which is now a distant memory.
Timberwolves Performance
On the bright side, the Timberwolves have managed to elevate their offensive game, though it’s worth noting that their competition hasn’t been particularly formidable. Since the outset of February, Minnesota has soared to the third-highest Net Rating in the NBA at +9.4, trailing only the Boston Celtics at +18.1 and the New Orleans Pelicans at +10.5. This ascent is partly due to their 115.2 Offensive Rating during this period — while this is only considered to be the league average, it’s an uptick from their 18th rank overall for the season. Coupled with their already strong defensive game, this offensive boost signifies a positive trend.
Getting back on their home court, the Indiana Pacers have concluded a three-game road trip, which saw them go from New Orleans to San Antonio, and finally to Dallas, where they managed to claim victory only against the Mavericks on Monday. The Pacers’ lineup, despite welcoming Pascal Siakam to their ranks, hasn’t made notable strides in their defensive game.
This is in light of them trading away Buddy Hield, who is seen as a defensive liability. Even more concerning for Indiana is the slight regression in their offensive numbers; after obtaining Siakam, their Offensive Rating dipped from 120.3 to 117.8. Although it’s a small decrease, for a team that relies heavily on its scoring prowess and lacks a significant defensive strategy, this 2.5-point slide in offensive efficiency per 100 possessions could pose a serious threat to their game plan.
Minnesota Attacking Form
Observing the Minnesota Timberwolves’ high-powered attack, it’s expected that they will regain their momentum after a less than stellar performance in an unfavorable matchup against the Blazers. In their next game, they’ll face the Pacers, who are returning from a lengthy three-game stint on the road, including a high from their recent triumph in Dallas.
Statistics from BetLabs show that wagering against home teams that are just back from a road trip of three or more games has been profitable, with a historical against the spread (ATS) record of 181-147-7 since the start of the 2022-23 season. Drilling down to the current season, the performance is even more noteworthy with an ATS record of 81-57-3. The choice of the 2022-23 campaign as a reference point is strategic, marking a full season’s gap following the unique bubble environment, which provided teams with an irregular prolonged rest period.
Given the fast-paced nature of the matchup against the defensively lax Indiana Pacers, wagering on the Minnesota Timberwolves to surpass their projected team total offers promise. Earlier this season, the Timberwolves managed a hefty 127 points against the Pacers, even in the absence of pace-setter Haliburton. Anticipating a game total of around 130.5 points, Minnesota’s share would logically hover around 116.5 points. With the added benefit of rest from a few days off following an intense post-All-Star Break run, they appear prime to overstep that mark. Minnesota has, after all, surpassed their team total in six out of their previous ten away games, so betting on them to repeat that performance on Thursday seems like a good choice.
- Indiana Pacers-Minnesota TimberwolvesIndiana Pacers -3.50 (AH)
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