Quevilly - Rennes
|11-04-2012, 20:55||Quevilly - Rennes
League: FA Cup, France
|Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Quevilly vs. Rennes|
COMFORTABLE RENNES WIN AT ODDS 2.25Final result: 2 - 1
Profit: 0.00 - 7 = -7
I have actually only seen one game with Quevilly but I don't think I'm the only one. That was the game against Marseille and I actually thought Marseille would win that game with the motivation that both teams were struggling, only Marseille did in the first division and Quievilly in the third. I was wrong, Marseille played worse football than I would have expected from them (very low tempo). I think they underestimated the home team and were too confident, and obviously their form is still very bad which was a factor.
Then why would Rennes perform better? Well, first of all their form is better than Marseille's was. And they are actually a pretty good away team, having won three out of their last five away games. They beat Ligue 1 team Valenciennes away in Coupe de France by 1-3. Also, Quevilly may be more used to the stadium than Rennes, but still, it's not their home stadium. It's the stadium of the Ligue 1 team Caen. And maybe the most important factor: Rennes won't underestimate the home team and they will go 100% beacuse this is after all the semifinal and they would love a final. Of course, so would Quevilly, but a third division team 100% versus a good Ligue 1 team 100% really should be Ligue 1 win.
Quevilly have played six games at home in the National division so far, and they have not won a single of them! Four of those were losses, two were draws.
I may step on the same mine as I did when I bet on Marseille win, but I'm really expecting an away win here.
There is also one more factor, considering the underestimation, Rennes lost here two years ago, they will do everything they can not to repeat that.
I'm going for Rennes -1.5 at odds 2.25 medium-high stake.
Posted on: 11.04.2012, 17.41 CET (Viewed: 116 times)
Match starts on: April 11, 2012
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