Toulouse - Montpellier
|27-04-2012, 19:00||Toulouse - Montpellier
League: Ligue 1, France
|Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Toulouse vs. Montpellier|
TOULOUSE - MONTPELLIER OVER 1.5 ( 0.03 VALUE)Final result: 0 - 1
Profit: 0.00 - 7 = -7
Montpellier - 1st
Toulouse - 7th (3 points away from Europe League qualification)
Looking at their last 4 matches we have:
Toulouse home: scored 7 goals and conceded 1 goals
Toulouse : scored 5 goals and conceded 9 goals
Montpellier away : scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals
Montpellier : scored 7 goals and conceded 4 goals
Montpellier is 1st with 2 points ahead of 2nd Paris SG. Toulouse is 7th with 3 points away from 4th to qualify for the Europe league.
Toulouse scored 7 goals in their last 4 home games, 3 of them over 1.5 goals. They have a good defense since they conceded only 1. Montpellier scored 5 in their last 4 away games, all 4 were over 1.5 goals. They conceded 6 as well, making 3 of their games over 2.5 goals.
Toulouse good defense at home with a decent attack power, Montpellier away tries to scores at least 1 goal per game but because of this often they also concede 1 or more goals.
Average goal per match is 2.375. Using poisson it gives us odds of 1.46
Pinnacle is offering 1.49 for over 1.5, that's a 0.03 difference. small value, but still value.
Posted on: 27.04.2012, 12.17 CET (Viewed: 566 times)
Match starts on: April 27, 2012
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3' and it's already 0-1 :D