David Nalbandian - Others - ATP Belgrade
|01-05-2012, 12:00||David Nalbandian - Others - ATP Belgrade
League: ATP Tour
NALBANDIAN TO WIN ATP BELGRADEFinal result: 0 - 1
Profit: 0.00 - 6 = -6
Basically, Nalbandian is, in my opinion, the most capable player at that tournament.
He is the 4th seed here. #1 is Andujar, #2 is Andreas Seppi and #3 is Nieminnen.
This is an ATP 250 tournament, and big names don't usually appear.
I wanted to post my tip on Del Potro to win at ATP Estoril, couldn't because website was down and I'l do it later when odds are back, but this bet follows the same explanation.
Both Del Potro and Nalbandian should be in Munich, but they aren't. I can only see two different reasons for that. They either want to play more games, or they were paid money/want to win money/points at this tournament, easily.
This year Nalbandian has shown different results. He played the southamerican clay tour as he usually does but it didn't go fine for him. He is 6-4 on clay this year.
He did great on Indian Wells though, and I expect him to play good again.
Let's analyze his part of the draws.
R1: He has no R1 because of his seeding.
R2: He should play against Martin Klizan, because the other comes from Qualifier, but neither of them should be problematic.
R3, Q: Probably Ryan Harrisson here, (#7 seed) who is a lot worse on clay than what he is known for. Again, David should win this.
R4, S: Should be Seppi here, but you never know with him... I don't expect him, and there's basically no one at this side that David should fear. Could also be Dodig. Nalbandian has won 2 out of 2 against both of those players, and neither of them come on a good form.
R5, F: Let's take a look at the other side of the Draws. I consider 3 possible opponents here, I like Andujar, Nieminen and probably Kubot there. Not a fan of Fognini. It is hard to predict from there, but I see Andujar as favourite to reach there.
As a conclusion... Up to semifinals, there is no one capable of beating David. This is a pretty small tournament, being 250, and fairly easy to reach finals. Semifinals won't be much harder because of the possible opponents.
Finals will be hard, as they always are, but we have great odds on it. I expect him to reach Finals and with this bet, I would be at a nace position to trade odds for his opponent!
Might not be possible to post another tip here at BE, because I'm suing high stakes here, but anyways.
Ah, I nearly forget to note it.
Physical problems are always there, and although it seems David Nalbandian is on full fit, anything could happen... Let's hope it's not here!
PS: because of BE rules, I can only bet at Stake 6. Well let's do it, I don't care that much. I might be able to trade some money with this stake. I was thinking of inputting Stake 8 here.
Posted on: 30.04.2012, 19.26 CET (Viewed: 229 times)
Last edited: 01.05.2012, 20.20 CET by Joe
Match starts on: May 01, 2012
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I think I will have to leave this for the serbian moderator to handle that. If the tournament starts on the 20/5/2012, then that is the time it should be in. Plus, usually during the tournament, if you were to bet on a player then it should be before the first event of the tournament of the day. But remember, it is a long term bet so put it early and the official tournament start.
Joe, according to those rules... because bets like those: http://www.bettingexpert.com/rs/tipovi/145767-San-Antonio-Spurs-Pobednik-Zapada http://www.bettingexpert.com/rs/tipovi/145770-Dallas-Maveriks-Pobednik-Zapada Are not following the rules. Odds on those events are changing almost dayly am I right? I don't think it matters that they are in Serbian. I'm just curious because I reread the rules and saw nothing about the date on long term bets. Regards.
Thanks Joe, and thanks for the tip of the day too!
Done and good luck
btw Joe, this should apply here too, as I had another Outright winner on a different event: http://www.bettingexpert.com/tip/148868-Sara-Errani-Others---Budapest-WTA Day should be moved to May 1st because I wrote it on April 30th afternoon after some matches had already been played. Thanks.
well hudeoara, if you check when I wrote my tip, first round was already played (BE was down on Monday for a long long time throguh the day). I had things to do on the weekedn and couldn't place the bet on the appropiate day, that would be Sunday. Then I wrote it on Monday afternoon, yesterday, and they didn't play again until May 1st. I think my bet has to count on May because the case is not the same as horseman, I wrote it on May 30 after the matches from the day had been played. Day should be changed back to 1st May, because in every tournament you are allowed to bet on Outright winners after the day playing (at most bookies). I hope you understand what I try to explain with this. Thanks.
That is correct and changed to back to April this tip.
Same problem here Joe, the event should be either voided for May or moved to April because as in Horseman case this event has starteed in April and the outright of the tournament need to be inserted in the first day of the tournament. Plus the rule says that we need to take the bet from the first day of the tournament because of the odds changement.
the winner of atp event has ten units to use, while events within the chosen atp has each ten units. yes are you right.
I understand. also, I suppose I am allowed to bet on particular matches from this Tourney right? otherwise this type of bets would be quite useless...
I wouldn't advise that but if you do, then it's ok, for only the same event but if you bet on a different result, the community would like to know how you got to that conclusion. Good Luck.
Admin, can I copy this same bet with stake 2 to reach my desired stake 6? Beause I saw in the rules that the maximum stakes are just a recomendation. Thanks.