Ben Curtis - 1pt e/w Wells Fargo Championship
|03-05-2012, 12:00||Ben Curtis - 1pt e/w Wells Fargo Championship
BEN CURTIS 1PT E/W WELLS FARGO GOLF @ 100/1Final result: 1 - 0
Profit: 25.00 - 1 = 24
The PGA tour returns to North Carolina for the Wells Fargo Open at Quail Hollow.
Quail Hollow is one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour. Although long at 7,469 yards, it's a greater test of putting and scrambling than it is a driving contest. More important than driving distance is driving accuracy, as fairways are notoriously difficult to find and this often leads to approach shots failing to hit the green. More often than not, the week's best putters will occupy the leaderboard.
So we're looking for a player who ranks highly for putting (especially long putting), 3-putt and bogey avoidance, scrambling success, driving accuracy, and total driving wouldn't do any harm either. As always, previous course form is a big plus and current form is also a positive.
Taking all of that into account, my 10pt staking plan contains a selection from the top/middle/bottom of the betting scale.
I'm steering away from the Big-5 on the basis of value although Phil Mickelson and McIlroy make more appeal than Tiger, Westwood and Mahan in that order.
Zach Johnson 1pt e/w @ 33/1
Zach Johnson is a major winner returning to form. He's made 10 from 10 cuts (12th best) finishing inside the top-25 five times including 2nd at Harbour Town in the RBC Heritage. He is a solid putter and ranks highly in scrambling. He's also had two top-11 finishes in the past three years.
Bo Van Pelt 1pt e/w @ 40/1
Van Pelt is ranked #1 on putting (strokes gained putting) and has five top-10 finishes from just 11 starts. He is an accurate driver of the ball and is ranked #4 on all round stats.
Jim Furyk 1pt e/w @ 22/1
No surprises that Jim makes the team this week. He is a past winner (2006) and several more top-10 finishes. He is currently ranked #1 on driving accuracy, 27th on putting, 4th on average score per round, and is also high on scrambling stats. His game is right back to the level of 2/3 years ago and wouldn;t be winning out of turn.
Ben Curtis 1pt e/w @ 100/1
If you only have one bet on the tournament, you could do a lot worse than plum for Ben Curtis. His win at the Texas Open two weeks ago ended a wait of six years since his last win on tour. He then backed it up with a solid 13th at last week's New Orleans Masters. Clearly he's in great form and full of confidence. But moreover, his game is a great fit for Quail Hollow: #1 on driving accuracy; #3 on greens in regulation; #7 on strokes gained putting; #1 on 15' to 20' putts; #2 on 10' - 15' putts. Players will be facing 15-25 ft putts all week to make birdie or save par, Curtis' performance stats are what we're looking for.
John Huh 1pt e/w @ 90/1
The guy Ben Curtis beat in the Texas Open, John Huh, is the last member of the team. This guy is one of the rookies of the season, having won already, finished 2nd in the Texas Open and added more top-25 finishes. If he can sustain the standards he's already shown, its only a matter of time before he wins another tour title. Along with Harris English, I'd rank him "most likely to win within 12 months". It's worth remembering that, in finishing 2nd in the Texas Open, he shot an opening 77 (Curtis shot 67) effectively giving the winner a 10-shot start! That's some handicap, and he almost beat it.
Posted on: 01.05.2012, 21.59 CET (Viewed: 286 times)
Last edited: 02.05.2012, 02.30 CET
Match starts on: May 03, 2012
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Don't worry Maradona, admins will review this bets and make good corrections. This is not place to cheat.
Hi guys, I understand both of you are quite good tipsters and I always like to read your golf analysis and tips as I am not a professional to write them myself. To Maradona1: I think it is pretty sure you are right with "bad counting of profit and losses by each way bets of the tipster longtermprofits". It is so clear and simple that nobody can argue with it... To longtermprofits: I am one of the "over one thousand people" who subscribed your tips - just because of your golf tips. And I tried to follow them. Why I did it? First, I understood you know golf pretty well (and nothing has changed here, I still appreciate your opinions very much). Second, I saw you can make a profit from it. And here is the problem now - if your profit/loss statistics are not ok and your profit is just not real how can I trust in your tips now? The answer is simple: I can´t trust them anymore... Probably you are not interested but I am disappointed. Cheers.
First of all, for my own part you can stay much longer on vacation. I know for sure that with your absence, the site will be much cleaner and definitely cheating will be reduced for a very high percentage. Yes, I used that word again simply because the facts speak for themselves. You spent so much time to write all this, you even had time for visiting my site and to write your rubbish also there. Small tip, next time please try to use real signature, because anonymity is not an option, at least not when you're rude. And then, the next time I'll approve your comment, maybe. But let us get back on this here. In addition to so much effort and everything written here, you failed to explain (not to me but to the community), you did not even bother to try to explain why your profits are doubled on all winning Each-way bets, which brought to you more than 70 units of undeserved profits. If you managed to convince someone somehow that there is nothing wrong with these picks (in what I doubt), then a much harder job is waiting for you, to explain why you did not double the loss on every LOST Each-way bet. This way you stole more than 100 units. So choose what you prefer more, to reduce your profit on winning bets or to increase the loss on the lost picks. So much excellent written words, yet nowhere explained how it is that your every winning EW bet for 2 units actually means 2+2, while at the same time, the same one losing EW bet means 1+1. But then maybe this is the way how EW betting works in United Kingdom: when you win they give you double, when you lose they gave you half back. Who knows? Oh man I would love to visit Britain and to start betting there, because seems to be there like in the famous cartoon when there is spelling: G A S and one second later he says: "Hm, this is a strange way to write the word water". But joking aside, the main reason why I write this comment is fact that instead of any at least false explanations, I was the one who was called that violates the rules. Well rosbeef, I have to disappoint you again, it seems that you did not even read the BettingExpert rules. There is nothing wrong in having couple different picks for the same game for a total of 10 units. Also, the rule does not say that out of ten consecutive can be only one with max stake, but the rule say that from total number of picks, it is not allowed to have more than 10% where the maximum stake was used. So, if I feel so, I might add even 20 consecutive picks with stake 10, but in this case, at the end of the month, I will will have to have at least 200 pick in total. Clear RB? Finally, are you here for prizes or for sharing your thoughts, opinions, insight info or for anything else, I have no interest at all. I am not interested what is your reason. And if you're here a little longer then you would have known that there were many cases before you whose main argument in the case of any violation was: I do not care about awards. And always an answer from the admins was: Rules are rules and apply to all equally, regardless of the reason for one's participation in this community. So the same should apply for you. The only problem is that in your case it is not a violation of the rules, but something worse: you shamelessly steal the units and above all trying to convince us all that black is white and the that gas is actually water. Of course, is there a need to point out that your name is everywhere on all standings in all competitions. For someone who is not interested in awards, you spent a lot of time opening accounts with bookmakers who are sponsors of the competitions and then entered your usernames in the appropriate space. Yes, you really convinced me you are not here for prizes. RB I wish you a pleasant day, holiday, vacation or whatever. Whether is one week or more in question, in both cases I hope (though I do not believe), that the rules will be respected and that the administrations of BettingExpert will extend your "vacation" for another month or two, if you understand me. Cheers!
M, why do you find it necessary and acceptable to be so aggressive and virtiolic towards a person you have never met and know almost nothing about? Is this behaviour at the root of your failure as a bookmaker? I will get someone to look through the e/w bets for you - but I can't commit to a timescale. While you're waiting, instead of ranting and pacing the floors whilst pressing pins in the eyes of my effigy, why not use the time more constructively? Immerse yourself in the popular works of Freud, Jung et al. There are some illuminating passages on the root causes of nihilistic and misanthropic behaviour that might strike a chord and help you grow as an individual. The theories on knowing oneself are a must read for you next beach vacation. Cultural differences aside, I am sure you know it not's nice to be accused of cheating, especially when de facto my primary objective in joining the BE community is not to win the prizes, but to share thoughts, opiion and insight. You'd believe this statement if you knew me, but I rather sense the opportunity for a blossoming relationship has wilted on the vine. There are over one thousand folk who subscribe to my points of view via email and, at the last count, none of them had ever accused me of cheating. I'll poll them though just in case they're holding out on me. You'd expect me to be curious about a complete stranger who harrasses me with abusive comments instead of making a polise enquiry or just quietly airing their concerns with the relevant authorities. Now because I do believe in seeing the good in people and treating them as individuals with rights, I would never suggest that almost all your bets (of late at least) infringe the rule on maximum 10% of bets at maximum 10pt stake. No matter that you have gone to great lengths to divide your stakes across several bets that relate to the same event and mutually-inclusive outcome. Lest you go into a ranting fit again, save it. I'm not around for a week or so and the PA is already fed up of the demeaning work load and demanding a few days off! 968 382546 2868
You don't have shame do you, I wrote everything on your picks and we will wait for Joe to take care of you. Your excuses are funny really. YES, you are right about your example for EW bet on 16/1 for 4 units. You can't add such pick because of maximum profit, but you can ad it as two separate bets. You are right about that. But the point here is this: Every time when you are going with EW and when you win you correct the profit by your self (you doubled it) like it was stake 4 and not stake 2. Now please take a note cause you know what I am talking about: But when your EW bet is lost, you never correct the profit by yourself from -2 to -4. Are you clear now?
Maradona, I haven't "doubled" the profits. This bet is e.w. Let's say one wants to place a 2ptw e/w bet on a 16/1 shot, that's 2pts to win and 2pts to place. But the BE interface won't allow you to put the total stake as 4pts because it doesn't cater for each-way bets so it thinks you want to put 4pts on the 16/1 shot and doesn't allow it as it surpasses maximum "WIN" stake. But really the stake to win is 2pts and the separate 2pts place bet. So rather than enter two separate bets as 2pts to win @ 16/1; and 2pts to finish placed @ 4/1. I put 2pts...and makr is clearly in the narrative. There's no way round this on BE. The alternative is I enter two separate bets. BUT that is not the real scenario and the bet would be fictional as you can't back a selection just to place (well, not at the odds derived from the each-way portion). Clear?
Joe, this is really unacceptable. I checked now some of his previous pick and it seems there are many where the profit is doubled. This is one of them. total stake for EW was 1, so (0.5+0.5) Only half for places was winner so, if I am not wrong here the return is only 13 units. longtermprofits please play fair and report to admins all picks where you doubled the profit. Seems you have lot of them plus there are picks from horce racing.