Jim Furyk - 1pt e/w Wells Fargo Championship
|03-05-2012, 12:00||Jim Furyk - 1pt e/w Wells Fargo Championship
JIM FURYK 1PT E/W @ 22/1 WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIPFinal result: 0 - 1
Profit: -1.00 - 1 = -2
The PGA tour returns to North Carolina for the Wells Fargo Open at Quail Hollow.
Quail Hollow is one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour. Although long at 7,469 yards, it's a greater test of putting and scrambling than it is a driving contest. More important than driving distance is driving accuracy, as fairways are notoriously difficult to find and this often leads to approach shots failing to hit the green. More often than not, the week's best putters will occupy the leaderboard.
So we're looking for a player who ranks highly for putting (especially long putting), 3-putt and bogey avoidance, scrambling success, driving accuracy, and total driving wouldn't do any harm either. As always, previous course form is a big plus and current form is also a positive.
Taking all of that into account, my 10pt staking plan contains a selection from the top/middle/bottom of the betting scale.
I'm steering away from the Big-5 on the basis of value although Phil Mickelson and McIlroy make more appeal than Tiger, Westwood and Mahan in that order.
Zach Johnson 1pt e/w @ 33/1
Zach Johnson is a major winner returning to form. He's made 10 from 10 cuts (12th best) finishing inside the top-25 five times including 2nd at Harbour Town in the RBC Heritage. He is a solid putter and ranks highly in scrambling. He's also had two top-11 finishes in the past three years.
Bo Van Pelt 1pt e/w @ 40/1
Van Pelt is ranked #1 on putting (strokes gained putting) and has five top-10 finishes from just 11 starts. He is an accurate driver of the ball and is ranked #4 on all round stats.
Jim Furyk 1pt e/w @ 22/1
No surprises that Jim makes the team this week. He is a past winner (2006) and several more top-10 finishes. He is currently ranked #1 on driving accuracy, 27th on putting, 4th on average score per round, and is also high on scrambling stats. His game is right back to the level of 2/3 years ago and wouldn;t be winning out of turn.
Ben Curtis 1pt e/w @ 100/1
If you only have one bet on the tournament, you could do a lot worse than plum for Ben Curtis. His win at the Texas Open two weeks ago ended a wait of six years since his last win on tour. He then backed it up with a solid 13th at last week's New Orleans Masters. Clearly he's in great form and full of confidence. But moreover, his game is a great fit for Quail Hollow: #1 on driving accuracy; #3 on greens in regulation; #7 on strokes gained putting; #1 on 15' to 20' putts; #2 on 10' - 15' putts. Players will be facing 15-25 ft putts all week to make birdie or save par, Curtis' performance stats are what we're looking for.
John Huh 1pt e/w @ 90/1
The guy Ben Curtis beat in the Texas Open, John Huh, is the last member of the team. This guy is one of the rookies of the season, having won already, finished 2nd in the Texas Open and added more top-25 finishes. If he can sustain the standards he's already shown, its only a matter of time before he wins another tour title. Along with Harris English, I'd rank him "most likely to win within 12 months". It's worth remembering that, in finishing 2nd in the Texas Open, he shot an opening 77 (Curtis shot 67) effectively giving the winner a 10-shot start! That's some handicap, and he almost beat it.
Posted on: 01.05.2012, 22.03 CET (Viewed: 91 times)
Last edited: 02.05.2012, 02.31 CET
Match starts on: May 03, 2012
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