Gran Canaria - Basket CAI Zaragoza
|03-05-2012, 21:30||Gran Canaria - Basket CAI Zaragoza
League: Liga Endesa, Spain
UNDER 136.5 POINTS AT ODDS 1.91Final result: 72 - 62
Profit: 13.37 - 7 = 6.37
Gran Canaria (13th, 12-20) is among a quartet of teams (Murcia, Obradoiro and Fuenlabrada) which are fighting against relegation. All four teams are just 1 1/2 games ahead of Estudiantes who is playing at already relegated Valladolid. If Estudiantes wins, they would be within reach of all four aforementioned teams trailing just one win with one round to go. Gran Canaria will be hoping that Valladolid wins that match, as they would be safe than. However, that's unlikely to happen and therefore they will need a win here. Their form over the last couple of games wasn't splendid either, as they've five of its last six matches, winning only against Valladolid (64-59) at home (10-6) two weeks ago. On top of their poor form, they will also miss forward Palacios today.
Zaragoza (9th, 16-16) fights for a play-off place. After Alicante's loss against Joventut yesterday (63-74), they're just one win behind and could level the score before the last and deciding round on Sunday. Zaragoza will travel to Obradoiro, while Alicante enjoys home-court advantage against Fuenlabrada. Both teams will face teams who are fighting against relegation. The tie-breaker would go to Zaragoza as they would have the better point difference (+13) over Alicante while both teams won their home matches. Zaragoza won two of its last six (both at home). Zaragoza is a poor traveler (3-12) this season, but they have for sure the better team than Gran Canaria.
The first matchup ended in a 63-61 home win of Zaragoza.
Gran Canaria averages 66.2 points per game in overall and 68.0 points at home. Over the last six matches, Gran Canaria averaged just 60.2 points per game.
Zaragoza is averaging 70.5 points in overall and 69.0 points on the road. Over their last six matches, the guests averaged 62.6 points.
The above calculations (136.7, 137.0, 122.8) and the importance of the game for both teams, suggest to play the under.
Medium-High stakes 7/10 on under 136.5 points.
Posted on: 03.05.2012, 12.11 CET (Viewed: 259 times)
Last edited: 03.05.2012, 12.23 CET
Match starts on: May 03, 2012
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Great bets on spanish league! Unfortunately for me, I'm picking the wrong handicaps and loosing them all at the start of this month... let's hope I can turnover. Good job, even if this was very close!