Fenerbahce Ulker - Besiktas
|09-05-2012, 19:30||Fenerbahce Ulker - Besiktas
League: TBL Playoff, Turkey
DRAW AT ODDS 17.00Final result: 74 - 77
Profit: 0.00 - 1 = -1
Turkish play-off quarter-finals game 2. Besiktas won the first match with 96-94 after double-overtime (FT 83-81).
Both teams are injury weakened today. Fenerbahce will miss Savas and Turkcan. That will result once again in a huge disadvantage in under the board as in game one when Ulker had just 27 rebounds as a team, compared to Besiktas' 48 rebounds with Bonsu and Hawkins combining 21 alone themselves.
Besiktas will be without Dagli (injury) and without Kemp. He is playing totally out of form will remain sidelined today according to his own coach. The guests will once again rely on Arroyo, Bonsu and Hawkins which combined 68 points in game 1 for Besiktas.
Both, the spread and the point line are too high IMO. The teams are on a similar level and Ulker will have a hard time to beat Besiktas with at least 6 points here. The 159.5 points are way too high IMO, as I expect between 140 and 150 points at most, of course without OT! That said, I recommend the following two bets in this one:
1) Medium stakes 6/10 on under 159.5 points
2) Small stakes 1/0 on draw (just in case, to cover the under)
Small stakes 1/10 on draw (regular time only, of course).
Posted on: 09.05.2012, 14.21 CET (Viewed: 133 times)
Match starts on: May 09, 2012
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