Janko Tipsarevic - Outrights winner of ATP Madrid

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	12-05-2012, 15:30	Janko Tipsarevic - Outrights winner of ATP Madrid League: ATP Tour	Home	50.00	2

Posted by Maradona1 (Betting Expert: 73698 BE Points)

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Bets: 823 Yield: 1.4%	Bets: 620 Yield: -3.4%	Bets: 5260 Yield: -0.8%

JANKO TIPSAREVIC TO WIN ATP MASTERS IN MADRID AT ODDS 50.00

Final result: 0 - 0
Profit: 0.00 - 2 = -2

Today in Madrid we have semi-final matches, at 15:30 on the court will be Del Potro and Berdych while later Federer will meet Tipsarevic in second match.
So, after Nadal, yesterday also Djokovic lost (to Tipsarevic) and now wolrd No.3 (Federer) is main favourite to win this tournament. But the best odds on hm are only 1.60. After Federer, Del Potro is set for second favorite with best odds around 4.00, while the best odds for Berdych are those from Sportingbet (7.00).
On the other side, Tipsarevic even though he beat Novak Djokovic, is considered for the greatest underdog with current average odds of 20.00. Still at Betsson I found these 50.00 which is far above average and thus it's great value.
Of course that it will be almost impossible for Tipsarevic to win two more matches here in Madrid, but still we should not forget that he already beat two top players. Beside world No.1 it was also Gilles Simon. Then, there is important factor of this blue clay in Madrid to which all players complained, except Janko who said already at the start of the tournament that this clay is pretty much different and it is much harder to play on it, but still it suits for him.
Yesterday against Novak, Tipsarevic was amazing on serv and overall Janko's great tennis was the main reason for his win and only then slightly weaker tennis from Djokovic. If Janko repeats such tennis today, then I see Federer in problem.
Generally, Tipsarevic had no success against Federer in the past. It was 0-4 in mutual meetings, but it was not always easy for former world No.1. We remember mutual meeting from Australian Open couple years ago when Federer won only after 10-8 in 5th set. Since then, Janko has improved much and maybe it's time for his first win against Federer. If Janko reach the final then against Del Potro/Berdych I think everything will be possible.