Paul Lawrie - Camilo Villegas

PAUL LAWRIE AT EVENS TO WIN

Paul Lawrie @ evens to beat Camilo Villegas.

Paul Lawrie has to be backed to overcome Camilo Villegas in tomorrow's group stage match. Lawrie is playing in his 500th european tour tournament this week and has shown a love for this format - he's also keen to showcase his suitability for a Ryder Cup call-up. He won his first match on the first day 2&1 against the very good and in-form Peter Hanson. That experience will be a big advantage as he takes on Villegas in what will be his first match. He shot a decent 3-under par in that match, including a double bogey at the par-5 8th, so really obvious claims for him to win tomorrow.

Robert Rock @ 10/11 to beat Darren Clarke.

Darren Clarke has been badly out of form this year - looking out of sorts, and he has admitted to feeling embarrassed by his game in the year of his Open win. But Robert Rock got off to a terrible start against Justin Rose and found himself 5 down after 6 holes and all but out of the contest from that point forward. But if you examine the scores, you'll see that he was level par for the first five holes and then made double bogey at the 6th. He made birdie at the 4th 0 but so did Justin to avoid giving a hole back. The fact is, Justin birdied first five holes and played solid throughout, making birdie at 7 of the 12 holes played. Which golfer on the planet could have lived with that performance? So Rock didn't play badly and Rose won it - he didn't lose it.

The question is: can he put it behind him and bounce back here? I think so. He has to win to have any chance of going through to the knock-out stage and he meets a out-of-form Clarke. I think this comes down to Rock's mental attitude and mindset, and he's shown he can handle the pressure already this year. I'm looking at the bet this way - if Rock had won or got close to Rose, we wouldn't enjoy a near even-money price about him taking this match.

Justin Rose @ 8/13 to beat Darren Clarke.

As I said above, Rose was unplayable in his first match. Even if he only plays half as well, that should be enough against Clarke. I am taking a chance because we don't know how Clarke will play against Rock - but one thing is for sure, he'll be pretty tired playing his second match of the day over this long undulating course. He hasn't been done any favours by the draw. Rose must win this.

Branden Grace @ 5/6 to beat Thomas Bjorn.

Bjorn was really out of sorts on this course in his first match against Snedeker - who was playing with new unfamilar clubs! Of the first five holes, Bjorn lost - he made bogey to hand the hole to Brandt. Tomorrow he's up against Branden grace who has the dreaded schedule of playing two matches in the one day. But he's young and fit enough to cope physically and mentally with the challenge. This is the first of those two games so he'll be anxious to get off to a winning start and the second game will be irrelevant to his qualification (except for seeding). One of the big stars of the tour this year, I'm confident Grace will send Thomas packing. If Bjorn plays like he did yesterday - that might be sooner rather than later.

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Posted on: 18.05.2012, 01.28 CET (Viewed: 193 times)
Match starts on: May 18, 2012

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