Rafael Nadal - Roger Federer

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	18-05-2012, 13:30	Rafael Nadal - Roger Federer League: ATP Tour	Draw	3.25	4

Posted by Crator (Betting Expert: 13798 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 170 Yield: 0.8%	Bets: 130 Yield: 11.1%	Bets: 1338 Yield: 3.1%

ROME ATP FINALS TO BE NADAVL - FEDERER @3.25

Final result: 1 - 0
Profit: 0.00 - 4 = -4

Both this players are coming on perfect form and I expect yet another legendary game at the finals with Nadal and Federer to battle it out.

This bet is quite tricky.
I'm already counting Nadal and Federer to be past their quarters, as Berdych/Seppi shouldn't offer much resistance to them.

The key for this bet will be on semifianals.
Nadal should be meeting Ferrer, who will surely win Gasquet too.
This matchup has already been played before, last time in Barcelona. Nadal has the measure taken on how to play against Ferrer, and I don't think he will allow him a single chance.
It is true that Ferrer is showing a good tennis, specially a great mindset for this tournament. Today he had a tough second set against Gilles Simon and the spanish managed to overcome his opponent twice and take the set and the game.
I still think Nadal is a safe finalist to take, a bet on him to take the title can't be bad either but odds are already quite low.

On the top half of the bracket, semifinals will surely feature Federer.
His opponent is uncertain to me, as Djokovic is having a very bad tournament and he can aswell lose to Tsonga. Today Djoko allowed a set to Monaco, who is reaching a great form right now but he almost takes the second set too.
Only the experience allowed Djokovic to save the second set, and the lack of tournament competition at this stages from Monaco, who rarely finds himself in that position: being able to beat the tops.
If Djokovic wins against Tsonga, game will still be on the swiss as he is on a way better form and doesn't seem to be tired from Madrid. He only played Berdych and Raonic at Madrid, rest were a walkover and his games here in Rome have just been walkovers so far.
If Federer plays against Tsonga, the french won't stand a chance either as his game is easily countered by that of Roger.

All in all, I believe this bet is very possible and the odds are nice enough to take it.
In my opinion, Nadal-Ferrer is the game to look at.