Adam Scott - Phil Mickelson
|18-05-2012, 17:00||Adam Scott - Phil Mickelson
ADAM SCOTT TO WIN @ 1.952Final result: 0 - 1
Profit: 0.00 - 5 = -5
My value selections in the round two match-ups at the Byron Nelson Championship in Texas (Tied games ared pushed).
Gary woodland @ 2.01 to beat Robert Garrigus
Robert was one of my fancies to adorn the leaderboard this week. He has a good record here - and on tour this year generally - and his game is well suited to the track. Yesterday he shot 1-over par, but only had one birdie and an eagle to go with four bogeys that included a sequence of 3 consecutive boegsy on holes 1,2 & 3. He's unlikely to play that group of holes as poorly in round 2, but equally he probably won't have another eagle to combat a poor round. Gary Woodland shot 2-under, had five birdies and plenty of chances for more, and 3 bogeys. He looks the more likely of the pair to shoot a low score in round 2 and at slight odds against has to be the pick.
Jeff Overton @ 1.806 to beat Bob Estes.
Overton finished level par for round 1 with 3 bogeys and 3 birdies. I have a feeling he'll go sub-par in round 2 on a course he enjoys. Estes was 3-over par for his round which including signing for 3 bogeys, a double boegy and 2 birdies. Another round like that and he'll be spending time with the family at the weekend instead of playig golf.
Adam Scott @ 1.952 to beat Phil Mickelson.
Lefty had a quiet card by his standards with 2 birdies offset by 2 bogeys for a level par round. His accuracy off the tee was abysmal at 28.5% (!), decent recovery to post good GIR but putting wasn't hot with 0.91 strokes gained putting (average 2 putts per GIR). The pre-tournament favourite Adam Scott hd a more colourful card with 4 bogeys, a double bogey and 3 birdies for a 3-over par round. He knows he has to improve or he'll miss the cut. Scott was ahead of Mickelson on practically every key performance indicator (bar GIR %) except the one that really counts, shots taken.
Scott has to improve - but has the game to recover from here and is taken to get the better of Phil.
Charles Howell III @ 1.877 to beat Johnson Wagner.
Wagner was one of my picks for this tournament so his 1-over start was a bit disappointing. He shot 3 birdies to go with 4 bogeys. His total driving numbers were decent enough and so too his putts per GIR number, but he struggled to scramble well when missing the green in regulation. Gets that going tomorrow and he could go sub-par.
Howell bombed his drives yesterday and inevitably his accuracy suffered and that affected his GIR %. However he putted well and his card as tidy with just one dropped shot and 3 birdies. Same again in round 2 should be enough to beat Wagner.
Posted on: 18.05.2012, 13.02 CET (Viewed: 112 times)
Match starts on: May 18, 2012
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