Switzerland (W) - Ukraine (W)
|31-05-2012, 19:30||Switzerland (W) - Ukraine (W)
League: Women´s European Championship, International
UKRAINE -6.5 TO WIN @1.85Final result: 25 - 27
Profit: 0.00 - 8 = -8
Match from the qualification rounds for the Women's European Championship.
The group where I take this match from is one of the hardest in this qualification rounds. 2 teams need to advance from Spain, Ukraine, Iceland and Switzerland.
The swiss are obviously the underdogs here, and they have no real chances with their actual team. Switzerland is not, historically, a good handball nation despite them doing a great job lately. They should have something to say at the european competitions in 5 years time, but not yet.
Spain and Ukraine stand out as favourites, but Iceland is a handball country. They have, according to my rating, the best team with the small population they have, and only Montenegro is better on that "rating" (skill/population).
That doesn't mean anything though.
Ukraine has a great chance to qualify here. They need to win, and then play against Iceland this weekend. By winning against Switzerland they are already at the European Championship.
I'm taking this handicap because I consider it to be quite low. Other bookies are offering -7.5, what is about right, but I'd say -8.5 is the perfect handicap here.
Ukraine will start strong and, with their better roster, give a lot of fight to the swiss. The game should then fall by their side and their margin should increase.
This is the common women game when one team is the clear facvourite.
The -6.5 handicap is just too low.
Posted on: 30.05.2012, 02.01 CET (Viewed: 243 times)
Match starts on: May 31, 2012
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