Croatia - Others
|08-06-2012, 19:00||Croatia - Others
League: EURO 2012, International
CROATIA TO WIN EURO 2012 @ 59.5Final result: 0 - 1
Profit: 0.00 - 2 = -2
This is total dark horse of this championship, and I think this long-shot odds have fair chance.
Value lies in public always rooting for the big teams, like Spain, Germany, and 'underdogs' like Holland.
True value lies in dark horses like Croatia may be in this championship.
Of course this prediction is part because I am Croatian, but part on some elements that have proved successful in the past.
First is Bilic - this is his last month as a selector for Croatia A team - players adore him, and they will put their best performance because he is one of them.
Second reason is that team is full of great players that have not played much last half year - this promises that they are eager to show what they can do.
Third is - Croatia plays good, or even exceptionally well against 'big' teams, just remember Italy in Japan, Germany 1998 and 2008.
Problem is always - small teams - where players don't impress that much.
This time, I see surprise in Ireland, but sure win against Italy and Spain... everything can happen.
Group part is allready here:
After Croatia qualifies from the group stages - there will be no more 'weak teams - group D is close with any team waiting to be demolished, and 2 more games and nice proffit is here.
This is a long-shot bet - please take into consideration that this bet may be subject to subjective opionion.
Posted on: 31.05.2012, 11.46 CET (Viewed: 418 times)
Match starts on: June 08, 2012
You must be logged in to post a comment! Sign up + or log in in the top right corner.
I took odds of 64 @betfair. Seems like odds are dropping for some time now, highest odds were around 70@ some bookmakers last week (22 and 23 of may )
I would like Germany in 1/4 finals, Croatia finishing barely second, and Germany dominating group of death with 3 wins. And then - surprise - Croatia - Germany - Croatia advances ...
Oh, in the 1/4 finals "we" would just have to take care of England or France/Sweden (winner of group D), so no big deal too. Than within the semi-finals "we" would play either runner-up from the group of death (Germany or Netherlands) or against the winner of group A which should be either Russia or Greece. Again, no big deal here especially if those should be the Germans, LOL (remember Lyon 98' 3-0?! or EURO 2008 2-1 group stage?!). Than the final against Spain where everything is possible.
I've taken both Croatia and Denmark as my underdogs with small stakes. Denmark is a lot harder but at least Croacia should make it through group stage. I plan it as trading though, not as a real winner candidate. If they make it to quarters it shouldn't be that hard to trade it, depending on the draws which I don't remember.
Took that one too already a month ago with odds at 65.00. Of course, it's not just a patriotic choice, that can really happen as the Greek impressively proved 2004!