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Le Mans - Cholet

  Date Match Selection Odds Stake Bookmaker
Basketball 02-06-2012, 20:00 Le Mans - Cholet
League: Pro A Playoff, France
Away 2.50 2 nordicbet

poglavica

Posted by poglavica (Betting Expert: 14267 BE Points)

This league Last 6 months Total stats Subscribe
Bets: 19
Yield: -3%
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Yield: 0%
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Yield: 3%
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CHOLET TO WIN ML AT ODDS 2.50

Final result: 83 - 78
Profit: 0.00 - 2 = -2

French league play-offs semi-finals, game 1. Best-of-three series.

I'm taking this one early without even knowing how Pinnacle will open it, but I expect a ride on Cholet by experienced punters. This is an obvious mistake by the bookies and represents huge value.

Le Mans finished the regular season on 4th place, meanwhile Cholet entered this play-offs as # 8 by eliminating regular season winner Gravelines in three games. Still, Le Mans get way too much credit here.

I saw two of the 3 matches in their 2-1 win over Nancy. The hosts are obviously the weakest remaining team which entered this stage of the competition. That's because they played the 2nd worse team in the 1/4 finals (Nancy), and has nothing to do with their strength. I've already pointed that out in my Le Mans - Nancy series bets. This team is even below college basketball level.

I already stated even before the series against Gravelines started, that Cholet can eliminate them. And exactly that happened. They were widely underestimated just because they entered the play-offs as 8th placed team, but that had to do with their injuries at the beginning of the season. They proved all wrong and eliminated Gravelines in the 3rd game after OT. It's simply amazing that the bookies set them as a 3.5 point underdog instead the other way around. Let's make some money on that mismatch.

Regular season results:

Le Mans - Cholet 76:87 07.04.2012
Cholet - Le Mans 94:84 14.01.2012

8/10 stakes on Cholet to win AH (+3.50).
2/10 stakes on Cholet to win ML.

Good luck!

Nice tip! 1

Supporters

  1. poglavica

Posted on: 01.06.2012, 05.30 CET (Viewed: 388 times)
Match starts on: June 02, 2012

2/10 on Cholet at 2.50 with nordicbet (Fixed Odds)

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Tipped at

2.50

nordicbet

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must laugh at that, and you know what I am refering to, poglavica... SAD to see this, just SAD If you know what I mean...

last quarter nerves ... :/ unlucky