Juan Monaco - Milos Raonic

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	02-06-2012, 15:00	Juan Monaco - Milos Raonic League: Roland Garros	Under 0.50	6.00	1

Posted by Crator (Betting Expert: 13809 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 79 Yield: 6.2%	Bets: 132 Yield: 13%	Bets: 1340 Yield: 3.4%

NO SERVICE BREAKS IN THE FIRST SET @6

Final result: 0 - 0
Profit: 6.00 - 1 = 5

I could only find odds for "No service breaks" on William Hill.
Odds for "Over 10.5 points" on the first set are highest on William Hill.

This match is expected to be very even, and I must agree on that. It can be two ways: very even, or very one sided.
Either way, I believe that the first set will be really even and, from then on, one player may take the game on straight sets if the other falls of or they can give an epic battle in 4 or 5 sets.

I will place two different bets on the first set score. First one will be on the set to go Over 10.5 total games.
I liked Over 9.5 games a lot but odds are really low, and this option is also very good. It is obciously more risky but I still like it.

Second one will be to see no service breaks on the first set.
It is known by everyone at this point how good Raonic is at serving, but Monaco has been showing a great form with his serve too lately.
He is really good at holding his serve, and Raonic has problems returning, although he is improving with the long rallies.

Since both bets are indeed overlaying each other, I will put 1 stake on the "no breaks" and 3 stakes on the "Over 10.5 games".
Correct should be 3.5 there and probalby 0.5 on first, or 0.75.

As an extra explanation on why to get 10.5 instead of the 9.5 line:
10.5 is good to get with "no breaks" because good servers often feel nervous on a 6-5. 7-5 is infact the result I'm covering with "Over 10.5", but I'm also covering the case of back to back breaks or whatever else.