Partizan - Crvena Zvezda

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	12-06-2012, 20:00	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda League: A League playoff, Serbia	Under 151.50	1.87	9

Posted by Maradona1 (Betting Expert: 73091 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 69 Yield: 15.3%	Bets: 638 Yield: -3.3%	Bets: 5260 Yield: -0.8%

UNDER 151.5 POINTS IN GAME AT ODDS 1.87

Final result: 78 - 72
Profit: 16.83 - 9 = 7.83

Third game in the series best of five, the score is tied with one win each.

Partizan is the official host today and although that fact is usually enough for me to take home team to cover, I wont do that this time. Partizan entered weakened in this play-off finals. First Rasko Katic (second option on center position) was lost for this finals because of health problems and now is question if guard James will play since he was injured in the last game. James is important for Partizan in the transition. When he is not on the court, Zvezda play pressing on Petar Bozic and that gave effect through several turnovers for Partizan in transition. So, without James in the team, I expect that Partizan will be slow and with almost always 20+ seconds possesions. This surely should result in a low scoring game.
Even if James appears on the court, I doubt he will play a major role. In that case those should be much less minutes for him than usual.
First game of the series was 24 points above this line, second games was 27 points under this line. None of this will be repeated today, but still in my opinion and because of the above mentioned fact about James, under points is very expected.