Croatia - Spain
|18-06-2012, 20:45||Croatia - Spain
League: EURO Grp. C, International
|Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Croatia vs. Spain|
2:2 CORRECT SCORE ART ODDS 17.00Final result: 1 - 0
Profit: 0.00 - 2 = -2
I already took draw for this game since the odds I found are great and surely later you wont find anything close to it.
Now I will take one more bet, it is correct score 2:2. I already said in previous preview that with score of 2-2 both teams will reach QF. So, why they would not finish the game with this score. We all still remember what happened in the game between Denmark and Sweden not so long ago.
This is the current standings in this group:
1. Spain 4 pts
2. Croatia 4 pts
3. Italy 2 pts
4. Republic of Ireland 0 pts
It is very expected that Italy also will beat in final round the weakest team in this group, but that will not be enough for them if Spain and Croatia play each other one high scoring draw for example 2:2.
I found these rules for case if two or more teams are equal with points after first stage:
a) num of points obtained in the matches among the teams in question; b) goal difference in the matches among the teams in question;
c) num of goals scored in the matches among the teams in question;
d) goal difference;
If Spain and Croatia play each other draw, while Italy as expected beat Ireland, then all three teams in question will be tied with 5 points each.
The first rule, points in head to head: All three will have 2 points
The second rule, goal difference in head to head: All three will have +0.
The third rule, goals scored in head to head: With 2-2 score, Spain and Croatia would have 3 goals scored while Italy only 2 and would finish on 3rd position no matter how huge their win against Ireland would be, since total goal difference is only the 4th rule.
By that 4th rule, Spain would be the first placed while Croatia second team in this group.
Posted on: 14.06.2012, 22.51 CET (Viewed: 826 times)
Last edited: 14.06.2012, 23.02 CET
Match starts on: June 18, 2012
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The best price on 2-2 now 5/1 (4/1 Paddy Power). I wouldn't back it at double that myself, because Croatia will struggle to score even one. It seems you found early value though. Good luck
you find this odd?
Paddy Power still offers great odds for draw, while they just closed odds for 2-2 correct score. Still, there are couple others bookmakers with odds 18.00.