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Crvena Zvezda - Partizan

  Date Match Selection Odds Stake Bookmaker
Basketball 15-06-2012, 20:00 Crvena Zvezda - Partizan
League: A League playoff, Serbia
Under 148.50 1.85 7 Sportingbet

Maradona1

Posted by Maradona1 (Betting Expert: 73698 BE Points)

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UNDER 148.5 POINTS AT ODDS 1.85

Final result: 82 - 86
Profit: 0.00 - 7 = -7

Serbian play-off final, Game 4 in series best of 5

Partizan lead in series with score of 2-1 after two wins on home court in game 1 and 3, while Crvena Zvezda won second game when they were official hosts. I said official since all three games so far have been played on same place. But this wont be the case today since Zvezda will organize this match in Zeleznik. This hall is much smaller and have stands for only two thousand people. But this is the real home court for Zvezda since they are trained here in most part of the season.
In any case small place but it will be crowded, so it means very difficult to play for away team.
That is why I wont bet on Partizan although they are still team with higher quality, but I will stay with a standard option when Zvezda is host and it is under points. I expect that we will see similar game (in term of under/over) to second meeting.
Partizan should not score too many points here, while I doubt that either Zvezda will score more than in game 2 or 3. The opening game of the series was one major exception for both teams. In that game Partizan had amazing % for 3-point. This is very hard to repeat, after all we could see that in next two games.
On the other side, Zvezda is not a team where you can find a player who can score easily around 20 points, except American Omar Thomas, but even his form lately is full of ups and downs. Game 3 he has finished with only 5 scored points.
By the way over time is not included in Sportingbet.

Nice tip! 1

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  1. Maradona1

Posted on: 15.06.2012, 02.54 CET (Viewed: 417 times)
Last edited: 15.06.2012, 03.15 CET
Match starts on: June 15, 2012

7/10 on Under 148.50 at 1.85 with Sportingbet (Total Goals)

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Yea, much above the line. Simply game started surprisingly good for both and in first quarter already 50 points scored.