Germany - Italy
| Date | Match | Selection | Odds | Stake | Bookmaker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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28-06-2012, 20:45 | Germany - Italy League: EURO Semi finals, International |
Away 0.00 | 4.00 | 2 |  |
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Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Germany vs. Italy |
Posted by CommonSensei (Experienced Tipster: 487 BE Points)
| This league | Last 6 months | Total stats | Subscribe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bets: 15 Yield: 39.6% |
Bets: 42 Yield: 4.5% |
Bets: 57 Yield: 13% |
|
ITALY TO HAVE MORE POSSESSION AT ODDS OF 4.0
Final result: 1 - 2Profit: 0.00 - 2 = -2
There seems to be an arbitrage (guaranteed profit) opportunity on the 'Most Time in Possession' market at the moment, where different bookies are quoting:
Germany 1.6
Italy 4.0
£1000 on Germany here and £400 on Italy most possession market results in £200 minimum profit unless it is exactly 50/50.
Got it last night but it will change soon as they notice!
Italy are most likely to have the most possession in my eyes, though it's very unpredictable and I think Germany could just as well have a good day and get the most possession.
What I think is very unlikely is that it will be split exactly 50/50 which is the only losing position on this bet... This is the second part of the bet. It is not BETSAFE it is actually on BlueSquare who I don't usually use but they are the ones offering the odds so I got them on it just this once.
1
Posted on: 26.06.2012, 10.19 CET (Viewed: 624 times)
Last edited: 26.06.2012, 18.35 CET
Match starts on: June 28, 2012
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Yep sorry I will just change that! God school boy error now I can't count :) thanks for alerting me! Yeah I think Italy could win this one everybody is writing them off for some reason or other, whilst I have been saying on my website atually they have been playing well conceding few and could very well take this game all the way. Value for sure!
On topic, I think theres value in Italy here. They have been playing surprisingly attacking.
I hope you meant 400 on Italy instead of 300.
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stake over 10, reduced from 8 to 2 so now 10.