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Nicolas Almagro - Tomas Berdych

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	03-09-2012, 17:00	Nicolas Almagro - Tomas Berdych League: US Open	Over 36.50	1.80	9

Posted by greekbanker23 (Betting Expert: 28935 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 141 Yield: 11.1%	Bets: 1206 Yield: 6.7%	Bets: 4376 Yield: 3.3%

OVER 36.50 GAMES TO WIN AT ODDS 1.80

Final result: 11 - 19
Profit: 0.00 - 9 = -9

US OPEN, LAST 16, HARD COURT

I expect today`s game between Nicolas Almagro (ESP) and Tomas Berdych (CZE) to sneak above the posted total.

Nicolas Almagro is currently #12 of the ATP Tour, while Tomas Berdych is currently #7.

Nicolas Almagro needed at least four sets in his wins against Stepanek (3:1), Petzschner (3:2) and Sock (3:1), but except the match against Petzschner, he looked quite solid so far. The Spanish player also made a good come back against Petzschner, as he trailed with after three sets. Almagro is well known as a good fighter and he hardly loses in straight sets. Including Wimbledon, he lost only three times in 18 matches in straight sets. Those matches have been in Wimbledon (his worst surface), against Ferrer (final in Bastad) and against Murray (Olympics quarterfinals). Tomas Berdych looked quite solid in his matches so far, beating Goffin and Zopp in straight sets, while he needed for sets in the last round against Querrey.

These two players already met 8 times, with Berdych winning five of those matches against Almagro. The record on hardcourt is 2-1 in favor of Berdych.

I hardly can imagine a straight set win of any of those players, as both are hard fighters and have a similar game. I expect a close game and a four setter will easily crack this low total. Price at 1.80 for over 36.50 games to win represents enough value for high stakes.