David Ferrer - Novak Djokovic

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	09-09-2012, 17:00	David Ferrer - Novak Djokovic League: Grand Slam	Away -3.5	1.72	9

Posted by Maradona1 (Betting Expert: 75279 BE Points)

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Bets: 157 Yield: 6.2%	Bets: 613 Yield: -3.4%	Bets: 5277 Yield: -0.8%

NOVAK DJOKOVIC (-3.5) GAMES AT ODDS 1.72

Final result: 13 - 20
Profit: 15.48 - 9 = 6.48

This is match in which we will find out the name of Murray's opponent in the finals. Note that semi final between Ferrer and Djokovic was interrupted last night due to bad weather condition (strong wind). In any case at the moment when the play was stopped David Ferrer was leading 5-2 and he was on serv. So, it means that Spaniard is two breaks up. Seems that Novak Djokovic was unable to cope with such conditions and it was good for him that the match was interrupted.
Now we have handicap line of only 3.5 games on David Ferrer and in my opinion Novak will cover it.
Possible scenarios:
First and worst option is to Ferrer wins first game today and thus immediately to finish opening set with score of 6-2. In this case Djokovic would need to win rest of the match with at least eight games. Difficult but in normal conditions it is very possible.
Second and in my opinion the most realistic option is to Djokovic immediately breaks back once and on this way most likely we will have only minus two games after first set (4-6). In this case Djokovic would need to win with at least six games starting from second set. In normal conditions, easy task if you ask me.
And third option is to Novak get back completely to the first set with possible double straight break and to take lead. From this angle it seems impossible, but if it happens then handicap -3.5 seems like already covered.
What ever happens with opening set, I think Djokovic can turns thing in his favor in rest of the match. He is better player, he is the best on the ATP tour when it comes to return and for him is not a problems to make more than one break of service per set no matter who is on the other side of the court.