Andreas Seppi - Ivan Dodig
|17-09-2012, 11:00||Andreas Seppi - Ivan Dodig
League: Open de Moselle
7 POINTS SEPPI -3 GAMES BEAT DODIG (ATP TENNIS METZ) @1.99 PINNACLEFinal result: 18 - 14
Profit: 13.93 - 7 = 6.93
Andreas Seppi takes on Ivan Dodig in the first round in Metz and I think that Seppi should win here and I think that the handicap of 3 games should be covered.
Seppi has a win rate this season of 56% and he played exceptionall well between the end of April and mid June as he reached 2 finals winning 1 in Serbia, the 4th round in the French Open, and the quarter finals in 2 of his other tournaments and this was an excellent period for him. Since then he has not played as much and has not been playing as well although he was unlucky with his draw in the Olympics coming up against Del Potro in the 2nd round. His average set score against players ranked between 51 and 100 (Dodig is ranked 100) is won 5.6 and lost 4 so he wins most sets by 2 games.
Dodig has a win rate this season of 38% but in the last 3 months that has dropped to just 13% with only 1 win in his last 8 ATP tour matches. In those games he has struggled to even win a set and in these 7 losses he only managed to win 2 sets and lost 16 sets so is not in form at the moment. If you look at his average set score against players ranked 21 to 50 (Seppi is ranked 26) then on average he wins 3.9 games and losses 5.5 games so again he looses most his sets by 2 games.
In summary Seppi should win this match and against a struggling Dodig I think he should cover this handicap.
Posted on: 16.09.2012, 23.16 CET (Viewed: 574 times)
Match starts on: September 17, 2012
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