Team SCV Life - Prime
|05-10-2012, 11:00||Team SCV Life - Prime
TSL TO WIN @2.4Final result: 5 - 4
Profit: 16.80 - 7 = 9.8
Starcraft 2 match from GSTL. Best of 9 all kill format.
Winner stays until he loses in Best of 1 series against players from the other team, until a team has managed to accumulate 5 total wins.
The odds for this game are completely missplaced in my opinion, and should be evened between the teams.
Team Prime is struggling at team leagues, be it online or offline, since their GSTL win at April 1st. Roster changes haven't helped it, but I would say they only won that GSTL because of some lucky shts, and LG-IM coach being horrible at GSTL pairings...
They still have a very strong roster. Creator is their protoss player, able to take opposing zergs mainly. He will need to do that, as TSL has many very skilled zergs.
They have great terans on Maru, ByuN and MarineKing. The first two will be ready for this, while MarineKing will have just played his Code S Ro8 match the previous day, and will not come with any specific builds for this encounter.
ByuN and Maru are great players when they are on a "good mood". You don't always get that on them, so it's hard to tell what side we will see. Their only zerg is BBoong.
TSL has done a great job during 2012. Last year they almost disbanded because they had no good players and no results, similar to what is happening to NsHoseo.
Like NSHoseo, though, they have a great coach and are very good at finding new talents and giving them ways to improve. That's what it seems considering the great success of their zergs.
They have a total of 5 zergs in their line up. Symbol is probably the most known, with many different achivements but he may not be in the best psychological moment. He still has a 12-3 record on GSTL this year, something impressive considering the "winner stands" format.
As second man we have HyuN. Anyone watching mainly online tournaments will have heard about him. Despite his disappointing run at the Up&Down matches,, he did gret at Code A Ro 64, but he is mostly shining in online cups all around the world. That is, cross server play in the european or american servers to compete with high ping, and still win, getting around 6k$ just this year from them, and running a very hot streak on many of them.
Third zerg on the line must be RevivaL, considering his success in live international events, but he has not shined that much at team leagues this year.
Shine is close to RevivaL, with much better results while in Korea. He is a really good player too. Last, we have RagnaroK who does fine on Team Leagues and gets overshadowed by his teammates. He may not play at all, considering the other players in the line up.
We won't see 5 zergs play, that would be too much I think... They still have Polt, a great terran player that will come in to get Creator or ByuN, but their only protosses are Cyrano and Inori.
Cyrano is not trusted by his team, at least not this far. Can't blame them considering the success of their zergs, and I trusted Inori today at Code A and got it wrong... He does seem to get way too nervous at the GSL booth, and while I thought he would have overcome that over the years, it didn't happen this way...
Team leagues always involve good runs and streaks, which makes it harder to bet on them. After this player/team analysis, I still have some extra regads towards the players. It is very important to have "snipers", or streak enders.
In this regard, HyuN, Shine and Symbol can all work very well and will be ready with specific builds against their opponents.
On the other side, Prime will probably trust ByuN and Creator, while saving MarineKing for the last player. In my opinion, Maru does not fit in that position.
Posted on: 02.10.2012, 13.50 CET (Viewed: 440 times)
Match starts on: October 05, 2012
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Thanks for your words sikkenoget.
I was almost right on everything, MKP did OK but not great as others expected, and Classic_Prime (2nd Prime player) was not expected at all there. He did a great build though, and then totally coin-flipped with the proxy 2-gate, which almost fails, but RagnaroK wanted to spare a Spine Crawler.
Still missing Maru there, but Classic did gret, can't blame him, and ByuN is a way better ace player than Maru. He is a lot more consistent.
I was also Surprised by RagnaroK instead of Shine, but as I said, they are both good players, but RagnaroK is just not known yet.
I'm happy of the outcome, obviously, and about the odds... You should hae kept tracking them, as TSL went back up to 2.25 at wich point I would still have played them. Those were closes eries, and when roughly at 50% chance (I made TSL at 55% or so), those are good odds.
Just in case you wonder, for tomorrow's StarTale vs MVP, I would play StarTale even at (currently) 1.67 odds. They have a way better roster, but if MVP play their best it will be close, but they lack a player or two I think.
This has to be one of your best analyses. It was exactly what you expected it to be, a fifty-fifty matchup, and in the end it was a great unit composition for Symbol that won it for TSL.
Unfortunately I didn't play it as the odds for TSL had changed to 2.04 not long after you put it up.
no worries mate. i shouldnt bet on things i have no idea about. i may do some research in to starcraft 2. it sounds pretty intersting
Well some time ago I stopped explaining what Starcraft 2 is at each of my tips.
If you don't specify what it is that you don't understand, I can't help you.
i have no idea what this means