Granollers - Cuenca

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	07-10-2012, 17:15	Granollers - Cuenca League: General	Away -1	2.43	6

Posted by Crator (Betting Expert: 13804 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 145 Yield: 18.1%	Bets: 131 Yield: 11.7%	Bets: 1339 Yield: 3.2%

CUENCA -1 TO WIN @2.43

Final result: 22 - 26
Profit: 14.58 - 6 = 8.58

Match from spanish handball league, Liga ASOBAL.

I'm taking the alternative handicap line at Cuenca -1 here for increased odds, even if Cuenca ML is already on way too high odds.
I trully believe Cuenca should be the favourites for this match, given they have been playing a lot better than Granollers this year and their team is a lot more solid. They have a fluent attack and even if their defensive abilities are worse than last year, because of their main keeper leaving the team, they still have a great 6-0 defense.

Granollers is missing their main right back player, and that is a huge handicap for them because he was doing great at the attack. They are also having a very weak defense lately, they rely on their keeper too much and he sometimes just can't do that much.

Given the high odds for Cuenca, I'm forced to play them because I would give them ~1.9. I also put 1 unit on HT/FT result Granollers/Cuenca, because Granollers will miss his right back player a lot more at the second half, when ideas are not that fresh, and this is a very possible match progress.