Pablo Andujar - Grigor Dimitrov

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	08-10-2012, 08:00	Pablo Andujar - Grigor Dimitrov League: Shanghai Rolex Masters	Home	3.25	6

Posted by martinmay21 (Pro Tipster: 3159 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 75 Yield: -9.1%	Bets: 60 Yield: -19.6%	Bets: 515 Yield: -0.7%

ANDUJAR TO BEAT DIMITROV

Final result: 2 - 0
Profit: 0.00 - 6 = -6

Andujar has an awful record on hard court whereas Dimitrov has a good record, so you wonder why i post this tip.

Recenty Andujar has suddenly improved on hard court beating the likes of Bellucci, Tipsaravic, Matosevic, Mayer, Haase, Ramos and Kunitsyn this year.
He hasn't lost as a favourite on hard court in the last 3 years, and although he isn't the favourite here, it has taken the likes of Lopez, Cilic, Isner, Giraldo and Djokovic to beat him in the last 6months.
All of these players would beat Dimitrov. Andujar even managed to take a set off Lopez and world number 1. Djokovic
Andujar only just lost his last match to Melzer in 3 sets.

Dimitrov is good on hard courts but has recently been poor, losing to Paire, Ram and Chiudinelli, all of which Andujar would beat.

Odds of 9/4 seem way too high. Some bookmakers have noticed that Andujar has more chances that bet365 reckon, offerin odds of 2.75.

So 3.25 is great value. I would personally put on Andujar if the odds were 50/50 split.