Gilles Simon - Janko Tipsarevic

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	22-10-2012, 11:00	Gilles Simon - Janko Tipsarevic League: Valencia Open 500	Home	2.37	9

Posted by martinmay21 (Pro Tipster: 3159 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 75 Yield: -9.1%	Bets: 124 Yield: -11.5%	Bets: 515 Yield: -0.7%

SIMON TO BEAT TIPSAREVIC

Final result: 5 - 4
Profit: 9.00 - 9 = 0

Simon leads the H2H 5-2 and even in the 2 he lost, he won a set, so he certainly knows how to beat Tipsarevic.

Tipsarevic is coming off a poor loss in his last match to Zemlja as a 1.1 favourite so maybe his game isn't at his best.
Even if it is, he is coming up against a player who has beaten him both times indoors, once only last month.

Simon actually has a slight, but better indoors record with 62% compared to Tipsarevic's 61%

Simon reached the final last month, beating Monfils and Tipsarevic and has only lost to monfils and Gasquet this year.

Tipsarevis has had a poor record indoors this year, losing as favourite 3 times so does not deserve to be favourite here.

Tipsarevic got revenge against Simon a week later on hard court where he beat Simon, but even then Simon took a set.

All the value lies with Simon here and would take him at 5/6 the pair