Best director at the 85th Academy Awards - Kahtryn Bigelow
I'll put in my Academy Awards picks now because odds tend to go down rapidly here and when they go down, they go down to the extreme. For example, Daniel Day-Lewis now has 1.4, when the awards start coming he will probably be down on 1.01. When Octavia Spencer won last year the odds were 1.002. Therefore it’s always a good idea to be early out with these kind of bets. Of course no one can guarantee that one single film will be the one to go down at those odds, but I think rather bet at these odds than when the gala is approaching.
Kathryn Bigelow won the Oscar for best direction for The Hurt Locker some years ago. Her main combatants are Steven Spielberg, Ben Affleck and maybe Tom Hooper. The others are extreme long shots. Tom Hooper won two years ago with The King’s Speech.
The main favorite for this win is Spielberg, and his movie has the Oscar buzz all over itself. However, the academy has shown lately that maybe they are getting tired of Spielberg, even if he has won a lot in the past. War Horse barely made it to the gala last time. Also, looking at the critics they have said it’s good, but not as good as Bigelow’s Zero Dark Thirty.
When it comes to Ben Afflecks Argo the critics have liked it, but I think there is a big chance the academy still don’t see him as a top director, and hasn’t forgiven him for works like Jersey Girl. Also, Bigelow actually won Best Director at New York Film Critics Circle. Out of the last three years two winners there have gone on to win the Oscar.
In some categories here I will pick maybe not the most obvious winner but a good chance. When it comes to directing, I actually think Bigelow should be the favorite to win the award.