9 points Carlisle vs Coventry Over 2.5 goals (UK Football league 1) @1.81 Pinnacle
Carlisle take on Coventry this weekend and this game should be an entertaining high scoring game so im going for over 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.
Carlisle are 18th in the league and despite a good start to the season find themselves near the relegation fight after a poor run of form saw them lose 6 out of 7 home games between the end of September and 8th December and away from home they have only won one game since 6th October. Their full home record is played 13, won 4, drawn 2 and lost 7 and their main problem has been in defence as they have conceded a massive 29 goals which is the worst in the league - Scunthorpe have the 2nd worst record with 25 goals conceded at home so you can see how poor they have been. In 6 of these home games (almost 50%) they have conceded 3 or more goals and this bet would have been covered by just the away goals. They have improved their scoring rate recently having failed to score in 4 of their first 6 games but have scored in every game since. In total they have scored 19 goals which gives them an average goals per game rate of 3.9 and 11 of their 13 home games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Coventry have been on a great run of form away from home recetly with 6 wins out of 6 in ther latest away matches but they cant reproduce that form at home and are sat in mid table as a result. In those last 6 away games they have racked up an impressive 19 goals and have been in inspired attacking form and with an average 8 shots on goal per game they have been value for money for their fans. In total they have scored 25 goals in their 13 games and with 17 goals conceded their average goals per game rate is 3.2 and 8 of their 13 away games have gone over 2.5 goals and most of these have been in recent games.
In summary Carlisle have been leaking a lot of goals and with Coventry's scoring record this game should be an entertaining game with losts of goals and im going for over 2.5 goals.