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Who Will Be The Next Pope-Peter Turkson

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5.00

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Who Will Be The Next Permanent Pope After Benedict XVI? Peter Turkson at odds 5.00

Maradona1  
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Who Will Be The Next Permanent Pope After Benedict XVI? Peter Turkson at odds 5.00



The several top favorites are:



Peter Turkson (Ghana), Marc Ouellet (Canada), Angelo Scola (Italy), Gianfranco Ravasi (Italy), Tarcisio Bertone (Italy), Francis Arinze (Nigeria), Leonardo Sandri (Argentina).



I'll go with first favorite, Peter Turkson from Ghana. At first look, it's clear odds of 5.00 on him are solid value since in most of other bookies odds are set between 3.00-3.75 or even lower.



I immediately eliminated the Europeans especially Italians. After last two that both were from European countries (Poland and Germany) I doubt we'll see again Pope from Europe.

But note half of all cardinals who will decide are Europeans (67 out of 125). Only those younger then 80 have have the right to vote. At this moment it is 117 or 118. And more then 30 are Italians. Still, I don't see this as a problem. Usually every cardinal will give its voice to one of his own. But it takes two-thirds plus one vote for one candidate to be elected. Plus there are too many Europeans especially Italians (candidates), so in my opinion votes will be too divided between those candidates.



Also one of my criteria are ages. After Benedict XVI has decided to give up the Papacy due to illness and at age of 85, those familiar with the situation in the Vatican expect this time to be elected someone much younger. The reason for younger Pope is fact no one wants too see again Pope who will spend only few years on this position. Benedict XVI leaving is first such case in last 600 years and there were only three such cases overall from all 265 Popes so far. And exactly Peter Turkson (age 63) seems as the best solution since he is by far the youngest among all top favorites. By the way, his current position is: President of the Pontifical Council for Justice and Peace.

If he would be elected, it will be the first time that a black man is at the head of the Roman Catholic Church. But why not? If USA could elect a black man for president then I don't see why Pope could not be from Africa.



So, when I have removed all top favorites from Europe, remained Francis Arinze (Nigeria) but he is much older then Peter Turkson. Then also Leonardo Sandri from Argentina who could be good candidate but I doubt he can go all the way. After all, when Benedict XVI was elected in 2005, there was rumor that other cardinal from Argentina (Jorge Mario Bergoglio) was second place finisher. It could easily to happen something like this to Leonardo Sandri.

The last no European is Marc Ouellet from Canada. By all criteria he should be very strong candidate, maybe even bigger then Peter Turkson. Marc Ouellet is the most qualified. He speaks fluently even six languages (English, French, Portuguese, Italian, Spanish and German). Plus he has done missionary work in South America so he could pick up some votes from cardinals from that part of the world. Still there is one big but in his case. After one of the cardinals is elected, he needs to accept election. But again by some rumors Marc Ouellet might decline.

Maradona1 has a confidence (stake) of 6/10 in winning this bet.

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Maradona1  
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