8 points Birmingham vs Watford under 2.5 goals (UK Football Championship) @1.91 - 188bet
Birmingham take on Watford this weekend in what should be an entertaining match and Im going for this game to be over 2.5 goals.
Birmingham are struggling just 4 points above the relegation places and they did not envisage they would be that far down the table at the start of the season. At home they have played 15 games winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 5 and I cant see them winning this match against high flying Watford. They have scored 20 goals and have failed to score 4 times but 3 of those were in the first half of the season and they have been regularly scoring at least 2 goals since then and in their last 8 home games they have scored 2 or more goals 7 times. They have regularly conceded goals as well which is their main problem and in total have conceded 23 goals of which 13 goals have been conceded in their last 7 games. Their average goals per game rate is 2.9 and 8 of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals although 6 of their last 7 home games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Watford are 4th in the league and still have a chance of getting the 2nd automatic promotion spot so will be going all out to win this match against a struggling Birmingham team. Away from home they have played 15 games winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 5 which is the 3rd best record in the league. They have been scoring well all season with 32 goals scored away from home which is 6 more than anyone else in the league. They have been even more clinical in their recent mathes and have scored 21 goals in their last 8 away matches and will be confident that they can score goals here. They have also been conceding regularly and have only kept 1 clean sheet away from home - In total they have conceded 24 goals whih gives them an average goals per game rate of 3.8 and 12 of their 15 games have gone over 2.5 goals.
in summary Watford will see this game as a game they muct win and will be going all out for victory and I am sure this game will go over 2.5 goals