SSC Napoli - Sampdoria

NAPOLI TO WIN AT THE ODDS 1.45 @ EXPEKT.

SEASON FORM
- Napoli have 50 points after 24 matches and are the second-runner in the table (win 15, draw 5, lose 4).
- Sampdoria have 29 points after 24 matches and are standing at 9th in the table (win 8, draw 5, lose 11).
- Napoli have normal attack and great defense.
- Sampdoria have both normal attack and defense.
- Probability: 55% - 21% - 24%



SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Napoli win 9, draw 2, lose 1 in their last 12 matches at home.
- Sampdoria win 3, draw 3, lose 6 in their last 12 matches at away.
- Probability: 63% - 21% - 16%



RECENT FORM
- Napoli win 3, draw 2, lose 0 in their last 5 matches.
- Sampdoria win 2, draw 2, lose 1 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 40% - 40% - 20%



RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Napoli win 4, draw 0, lose 1 in their last 5 matches at home.
- Sampdoria win 1, draw 2, lose 2 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 60% - 20% - 20%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Napoli win 6, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 9 head-2-head matches.
- Sampdoria win 2, draw 1, lose 6 in their last 9 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 67% - 11% - 22%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Napoli win 4, draw 0, lose 0 in their last 4 head-2-head matches at home.
- Sampdoria win 0, draw 0, lose 4 in their last 4 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 100% - 0% - 0%



FINAL PROBABILITY
- Napoli have 64% of chance to win.
- Sampdoria have 17% of chance to win.
- There's 19% of chance it will be a draw match.



BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- Expekt says Napoli have 69% of chance to win with odds 1.45.
- Pinnacle Sports says Sampdoria have 10% of chance to win with odds 9.59.
- Pinnacle Sports says there's 21% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 4.87.



CONCLUSION
- I bet on Napoli to win for the following reasons:

+ Napoli's season form is very good as they won 63% of total matches (15/24).
+ Napoli's season form at home is very good as they won 75% of total home matches (9/12).
+ Napoli's recent form is very good as they won 60% of total matches (3/5).
+ Napoli's recent form at home is great as they won 80% of total home matches (4/5).
+ Napoli's head-2-head form is very good as they won 67% of total head-2-head matches (6/9).
+ Napoli's head-2-head form at home is great as they won 100% of total head-2-head home matches (4/4).
+ Napoli's home advantage.

-Betting on Napoli to win at the odds 1.45 @ Expekt.

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Posted on: 16.02.2013, 01.07 CET (Viewed: 358 times)
Match starts on: February 17, 2013

9/10 on SSC Napoli at 1.45 with Expekt (Fixed Odds)

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