Veria FC-Asteras Tripolis

Stake placed: 8 / 10

Final result: Return: 0 | Profit: (0 - 8) = -8

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This league

53 Tips

-12.30 % Yield

Total

2501 Tips

+0.90 % Yield

Veria to win at the odds 3 @ Sportingbet.

SEASON FORM
- Veria have 20 points after 21 matches and are standing at 10th in the table (win 4, draw 8, lose 9).
- Asteras Tripolis have 38 points after 21 matches and are the third-runner in the table (win 11, draw 5, lose 5).
- Veria have weak attack but normal defense.
- Asteras Tripolis have normal attack and great defense.
- Probability: 22% - 31% - 47%



SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Veria win 3, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 10 matches at home.
- Asteras Tripolis win 3, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 10 matches at away.
- Probability: 35% - 30% - 35%



RECENT FORM
- Veria win 1, draw 2, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.
- Asteras Tripolis win 3, draw 1, lose 1 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 20% - 30% - 50%



RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Veria win 2, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 5 matches at home.
- Asteras Tripolis win 2, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 40% - 20% - 40%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Veria win 1, draw 0, lose 2 in their last 3 head-2-head matches.
- Asteras Tripolis win 2, draw 0, lose 1 in their last 3 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 33% - 0% - 67%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Veria win 1, draw 0, lose 0 in their last 1 head-2-head matches at home.
- Asteras Tripolis win 0, draw 0, lose 1 in their last 1 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 100% - 0% - 0%



FINAL PROBABILITY
- Veria have 42% of chance to win.
- Asteras Tripolis have 39% of chance to win.
- There's 19% of chance it will be a draw match.



BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- Sportingbet says Veria have 33% of chance to win with odds 3.
- Pinnacle Sports says Asteras Tripolis have 37% of chance to win with odds 2.73.
- 12BET says there's 32% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.09.



CONCLUSION
- I bet on Veria to win for the following reasons:

+ Veria's recent form at home is good as they won 40% of total home matches (2/5).
+ Veria's head-2-head form at home is great as they won 100% of total head-2-head home matches (1/1).
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 42% for Veria to win but Sportingbet says it's only 33% for this outcome.
+ Veria's home advantage.

-Betting on Veria to win at the odds 3 @ Sportingbet.