Cordoba - Alcorcon

CORDOBA TO WIN AT THE ODDS 2.14 @ PINNACLE SPORTS.

SEASON FORM
- Cordoba have 40 points after 25 matches and are standing at 5th in the table (win 11, draw 7, lose 7).
- Alcorcon have 44 points after 25 matches and are the third-runner in the table (win 14, draw 2, lose 9).
- Cordoba have normal attack and great defense.
- Alcorcon have both normal attack and defense.
- Probability: 40% - 18% - 42%



SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Cordoba win 8, draw 2, lose 3 in their last 13 matches at home.
- Alcorcon win 4, draw 0, lose 9 in their last 13 matches at away.
- Probability: 66% - 8% - 26%



RECENT FORM
- Cordoba win 4, draw 1, lose 0 in their last 5 matches.
- Alcorcon win 2, draw 0, lose 3 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 70% - 10% - 20%



RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Cordoba win 3, draw 1, lose 1 in their last 5 matches at home.
- Alcorcon win 1, draw 0, lose 4 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 70% - 10% - 20%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Cordoba win 1, draw 0, lose 4 in their last 5 head-2-head matches.
- Alcorcon win 4, draw 0, lose 1 in their last 5 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 20% - 0% - 80%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Cordoba win 1, draw 0, lose 1 in their last 2 head-2-head matches at home.
- Alcorcon win 1, draw 0, lose 1 in their last 2 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 50% - 0% - 50%



FINAL PROBABILITY
- Cordoba have 53% of chance to win.
- Alcorcon have 39% of chance to win.
- There's 8% of chance it will be a draw match.



BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- Pinnacle Sports says Cordoba have 47% of chance to win with odds 2.14.
- Pinnacle Sports says Alcorcon have 26% of chance to win with odds 3.87.
- Stan James says there's 29% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.4.



CONCLUSION
- I bet on Cordoba to win for the following reasons:

+ Cordoba's season form is good as they won 44% of total matches (11/25).
+ Cordoba's season form at home is very good as they won 62% of total home matches (8/13).
+ Cordoba's recent form is great as they won 80% of total matches (4/5).
+ Cordoba's recent form at home is very good as they won 60% of total home matches (3/5).
+ Cordoba's head-2-head form at home is good as they won 50% of total head-2-head home matches (1/2).
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 53% for Cordoba to win but Pinnacle Sports says it's only 47% for this outcome.
+ Cordoba's home advantage.

-Betting on Cordoba to win at the odds 2.14 @ Pinnacle Sports.

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Posted on: 16.02.2013, 01.27 CET (Viewed: 280 times)
Match starts on: February 17, 2013

9/10 on Cordoba at 2.14 with Pinnacle (Fixed Odds)

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