Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart

VFB STUTTGART TO WIN AT THE ODDS 3.53 @ PINNACLE SPORTS.

SEASON FORM
- Hoffenheim have 16 points after 21 matches and are standing at 12th in the table (win 4, draw 4, lose 13).
- VfB Stuttgart have 25 points after 21 matches and are standing at 10th in the table (win 7, draw 4, lose 10).
- Hoffenheim have normal attack but weak defense.
- VfB Stuttgart have both normal attack and defense.
- Probability: 34% - 19% - 47%



SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Hoffenheim win 3, draw 3, lose 5 in their last 11 matches at home.
- VfB Stuttgart win 4, draw 2, lose 5 in their last 11 matches at away.
- Probability: 37% - 23% - 40%



RECENT FORM
- Hoffenheim win 1, draw 1, lose 3 in their last 5 matches.
- VfB Stuttgart win 0, draw 0, lose 5 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 60% - 10% - 30%



RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Hoffenheim win 1, draw 1, lose 3 in their last 5 matches at home.
- VfB Stuttgart win 1, draw 0, lose 4 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 50% - 10% - 40%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Hoffenheim win 1, draw 4, lose 4 in their last 9 head-2-head matches.
- VfB Stuttgart win 4, draw 4, lose 1 in their last 9 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 12% - 44% - 44%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Hoffenheim win 0, draw 2, lose 2 in their last 4 head-2-head matches at home.
- VfB Stuttgart win 2, draw 2, lose 0 in their last 4 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 0% - 50% - 50%



FINAL PROBABILITY
- Hoffenheim have 32% of chance to win.
- VfB Stuttgart have 42% of chance to win.
- There's 26% of chance it will be a draw match.



BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- 888sport says Hoffenheim have 43% of chance to win with odds 2.3.
- Pinnacle Sports says VfB Stuttgart have 28% of chance to win with odds 3.53.
- bwin says there's 28% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.6.



CONCLUSION
- I bet on VfB Stuttgart to win for the following reasons:

+ VfB Stuttgart's head-2-head form is good as they won 44% of total head-2-head matches (4/9).
+ VfB Stuttgart's head-2-head form at away is good as they won 50% of total head-2-head away matches (2/4).
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 42% for VfB Stuttgart to win but Pinnacle Sports says it's only 28% for this outcome.

-Betting on VfB Stuttgart to win at the odds 3.53 @ Pinnacle Sports.

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Posted on: 16.02.2013, 01.35 CET (Viewed: 326 times)
Match starts on: February 17, 2013

6/10 on VfB Stuttgart at 3.53 with Pinnacle (Fixed Odds)

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