Valladolid - Atletico Madrid

VALLADOLID TO WIN AT THE ODDS 3.8 @ STAN JAMES.

SEASON FORM
- Valladolid have 30 points after 23 matches and are standing at 9th in the table (win 8, draw 6, lose 9).
- Atl. Madrid have 50 points after 23 matches and are the second-runner in the table (win 16, draw 2, lose 5).
- Valladolid have both normal attack and defense.
- Atl. Madrid have normal attack and great defense.
- Probability: 28% - 18% - 54%



SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Valladolid win 5, draw 4, lose 3 in their last 12 matches at home.
- Atl. Madrid win 4, draw 2, lose 5 in their last 11 matches at away.
- Probability: 44% - 26% - 30%



RECENT FORM
- Valladolid win 2, draw 2, lose 1 in their last 5 matches.
- Atl. Madrid win 3, draw 0, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 40% - 20% - 40%



RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Valladolid win 2, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 5 matches at home.
- Atl. Madrid win 0, draw 1, lose 4 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 60% - 20% - 20%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Valladolid win 2, draw 1, lose 4 in their last 7 head-2-head matches.
- Atl. Madrid win 4, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 7 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 29% - 14% - 57%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Valladolid win 1, draw 1, lose 1 in their last 3 head-2-head matches at home.
- Atl. Madrid win 1, draw 1, lose 1 in their last 3 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 34% - 33% - 33%



FINAL PROBABILITY
- Valladolid have 39% of chance to win.
- Atl. Madrid have 39% of chance to win.
- There's 22% of chance it will be a draw match.



BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- Stan James says Valladolid have 26% of chance to win with odds 3.8.
- William Hill says Atl. Madrid have 48% of chance to win with odds 2.1.
- Pinnacle Sports says there's 27% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.64.



CONCLUSION
- I bet on Valladolid to win for the following reasons:

+ Valladolid's season form at home is good as they won 42% of total home matches (5/12).
+ Valladolid's recent form is good as they won 40% of total matches (2/5).
+ Valladolid's recent form at home is good as they won 40% of total home matches (2/5).
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 39% for Valladolid to win but Stan James says it's only 26% for this outcome.
+ Valladolid's home advantage.

-Betting on Valladolid to win at the odds 3.8 @ Stan James.

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Posted on: 16.02.2013, 01.45 CET (Viewed: 407 times)
Match starts on: February 17, 2013

6/10 on Valladolid at 3.80 with Stan James (Fixed Odds)

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3.80