Back UNDER 2,5 goals
Lausanne and Basel are known to score few goals. Lausanne this season has only 1 out of 4 matches above 2,5g and Basel away is also below 50% (4/9). Combining those stats with the fact that the pitch will be in bad condition due to snow I would expect even less goals then normal. Under 2,5g therefore offers good value in my view.
The tip is based on statistical output of a model which includes the result of both teams from the past seasons, not just the current one. I select only outputs from the model if the value I see based on historic results is greater then 10%. I manually adjust the model in case a team shows a totally different performance currently then in the previous season.