Luzern - FC Zurich

	Date	Match	Selection	Odds	Stake	Bookmaker
	17-02-2013, 13:45	Luzern - FC Zurich League: Super League, Switzerland	Draw	3.40	4

	Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Luzern vs. FC Zurich

Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Luzern vs. FC Zurich

Posted by ryan2008 (Experienced Tipster: 572 BE Points)

This league	Last 6 months	Total stats	Subscribe
Bets: 36 Yield: 34.6%	Bets: 101 Yield: 11.5%	Bets: 101 Yield: 11.5%

BACK DRAW AT ODDS 3.4

Final result: 1 - 1
Profit: 13.60 - 4 = 9.6

Luzern at home and Zurich away both played Draw already 4 times (out of 9 matches) each. Also the first match between them in Luzern ended 1:1. Given these stats the odds of 3.4 offer very good value for another Draw between those teams. Also last season 3 out of 4 matches between them ended with a Draw and I hope there will be another one tomorrow.

The tip is based on statistical output of a model which includes the result of both teams from the past seasons, not just the current one. I select only outputs from the model if the value I see based on historic results is greater then 10%. I manually adjust the model in case a team shows a totally different performance currently then in the previous season.