Back DRAW at odds 3.4
Luzern at home and Zurich away both played Draw already 4 times (out of 9 matches) each. Also the first match between them in Luzern ended 1:1. Given these stats the odds of 3.4 offer very good value for another Draw between those teams. Also last season 3 out of 4 matches between them ended with a Draw and I hope there will be another one tomorrow.
The tip is based on statistical output of a model which includes the result of both teams from the past seasons, not just the current one. I select only outputs from the model if the value I see based on historic results is greater then 10%. I manually adjust the model in case a team shows a totally different performance currently then in the previous season.